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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Martinez Munuera
Betis
S U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 41%
39%
42%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 56%
61%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,69 xG 0,46
68% Possession 32%
18 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 7. · Sociedad 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 36 29 6 1 +61 +35.5 93
2 Barcelona 36 24 7 5 +31 +37.2 79
3 Girona 36 23 6 7 +30 +13.6 75
4 Ath Madrid 36 23 4 9 +28 +21.7 73
5 Ath Bilbao 36 17 11 8 +21 +10.4 62
6 Sociedad 36 15 12 9 +12 +6.4 57
7 Betis 36 14 14 8 +5 -6.6 56
8 Villarreal 36 14 9 13 +0 -4.2 51
9 Valencia 36 13 9 14 -3 -5.3 48
10 Alaves 37 12 9 16 -10 +0.4 45
11 Getafe 37 10 13 14 -11 -7.4 43
12 Sevilla 36 10 11 15 -3 -11.1 41
13 Osasuna 36 11 8 17 -14 -8.7 41
14 Las Palmas 36 10 8 18 -14 -21.6 38
15 Vallecano 36 8 14 14 -15 -2.3 38
16 Celta 36 9 10 17 -12 -3.8 37
17 Mallorca 36 7 15 14 -12 -6.1 36
18 Cadiz 36 6 14 16 -24 -14.2 32
19 Granada 36 4 9 23 -33 -20.0 21
20 Almeria 36 2 11 23 -37 -13.6 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Sociedad
5′
⚽ Brais Méndez 0–1
42′
⚽ Mikel Merino 0–2
Mikel Oyarzabal
Half-time 0–2
Sergi Altimira 🔁
↦ Pablo Fornals
46′
Rodri Sánchez 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
46′
52′
🟨 Beñat Turrientes
Youssouf Sabaly 🟨
58′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Willian José
59′
Héctor Bellerín 🔁
↦ Youssouf Sabaly
60′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli ❌
penalty missed
66′
67′
🔁 Jon Ander Olasagasti
↦ Beñat Turrientes
67′
🔁 Jon Martin Vicente
↦ Kieran Tierney
74′
🟨 Hamari Traoré
76′
🔁 Ander Barrenetxea
↦ Brais Méndez
76′
🔁 Jon Aramburu
↦ Hamari Traoré
78′
🟨 Sheraldo Becker
Ayoze Pérez ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
81′
81′
🔁 Arsen Zakharyan
↦ Sheraldo Becker
Juan Miranda 🟨
83′
Nabil Fekir 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Jon Aramburu
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
23 Youssouf Sabaly D
19 Sokratis D
28 Chadi Riad D
3 Juan Miranda D
4 Johnny M
14 William Carvalho M
18 Pablo Fornals M
8 Nabil Fekir M
10 Ayoze Pérez M
12 Willian José F
Bench (10)
17 Rodri Sánchez
27 Sergi Altimira
7 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
2 Héctor Bellerín
30 Francisco Vieites
1 Claudio Bravo
20 Abner Vinícius
24 Aitor Ruibal
34 Ricardo Visus
21 Marc Roca

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Hamari Traoré D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
20 Jon Pacheco D
17 Kieran Tierney D
23 Brais Méndez M
22 Beñat Turrientes M
8 Mikel Merino M
25 Javi Galán M
11 Sheraldo Becker F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (12)
36 Jon Martin Vicente
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
39 Jon Aramburu
7 Ander Barrenetxea
12 Arsen Zakharyan
13 Unai Marrero
2 Álvaro Odriozola
41 Iñaki Rupérez Urtasun
15 Urko González
14 Takefusa Kubo
21 André Silva
19 Umar Sadiq

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U
3,14
B ✓
2,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.