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Serie A

Referee: M Fabbri

Inter

U S U S S

3–1

Full-time

Lazio

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 62%

67%

57%

Points per game

2,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

57%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%

11 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 2. · Lazio 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	22	15	4	3	+20	49
2	Inter	21	14	5	2	+28	47
3	Roma	22	13	4	5	+12	43
4	Juventus	21	12	6	3	+22	42
5	Napoli	21	13	1	7	+24	40
6	Atalanta	22	11	7	4	+20	40
7	Lazio	21	12	4	5	+9	40
8	Sassuolo	22	9	7	6	+3	34
9	Verona	21	8	6	7	+3	30
10	Sampdoria	22	9	3	10	+0	30
11	Genoa	22	6	7	9	-7	25
12	Bologna	22	6	6	10	-7	24
13	Spezia	22	6	6	10	-8	24
14	Udinese	22	6	6	10	-8	24
15	Benevento	22	6	6	10	-17	24
16	Fiorentina	22	5	7	10	-13	22
17	Torino	22	2	11	9	-9	17
18	Cagliari	22	3	6	13	-16	15
19	Parma	21	2	7	12	-27	13
20	Crotone	22	3	3	16	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	12	9	3	0	+18	30
2	Inter	10	8	1	1	+16	25
3	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Napoli	11	7	1	3	+18	22
5	Milan	11	6	3	2	+9	21
6	Lazio	11	6	2	3	+3	20
7	Atalanta	11	5	3	3	+10	18
8	Verona	10	5	2	3	+5	17
9	Sampdoria	11	5	1	5	+2	16
10	Fiorentina	11	4	4	3	+0	16
11	Bologna	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Genoa	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Sassuolo	10	3	4	3	+0	13
14	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Crotone	11	3	1	7	-8	10
16	Benevento	11	2	4	5	-9	10
17	Cagliari	11	2	3	6	-7	9
18	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-7	9
19	Torino	11	0	7	4	-5	7
20	Parma	11	1	4	6	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	11	9	1	1	+11	28
2	Inter	11	6	4	1	+12	22
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+10	22
4	Sassuolo	12	6	3	3	+3	21
5	Lazio	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Juventus	11	5	4	2	+10	19
7	Napoli	10	6	0	4	+6	18
8	Spezia	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Sampdoria	11	4	2	5	-2	14
10	Benevento	11	4	2	5	-8	14
11	Verona	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Roma	10	4	1	5	-6	13
13	Udinese	11	3	3	5	-5	12
14	Genoa	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Torino	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Bologna	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Cagliari	11	1	3	7	-9	6
18	Parma	10	1	3	6	-12	6
19	Fiorentina	11	1	3	7	-13	6
20	Crotone	11	0	2	9	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.