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Ligue 1
Referee: C Turpin
Strasbourg
U U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Lyon
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
43%
47%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
15 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Strasbourg 5. · Lyon 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 31 22 5 4 +41 71
2 Rennes 31 17 5 9 +36 56
3 Marseille 30 16 8 6 +20 56
4 Nice 31 15 7 9 +13 52
5 Strasbourg 30 14 9 7 +19 51
6 Monaco 31 14 8 9 +15 50
7 Lille 31 12 12 7 +3 48
8 Lens 31 13 8 10 +8 47
9 Nantes 31 13 7 11 +6 46
10 Lyon 30 12 10 8 +4 46
11 Montpellier 30 12 5 13 +2 41
12 Brest 31 10 9 12 -6 39
13 Reims 31 8 12 11 -1 36
14 Angers 31 8 9 14 -10 33
15 Troyes 31 8 8 15 -15 32
16 Lorient 31 7 10 14 -19 31
17 Clermont 31 7 7 17 -29 28
18 St Etienne 31 6 9 16 -28 27
19 Bordeaux 31 5 11 15 -30 26
20 Metz 31 4 11 16 -29 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Strasbourg Lyon
1–0 I. Sissoko
L. Ajorque
20′
30′
🔁 J. Pollersbeck
↦ Anthony Lopes
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 T. Kadewere
↦ Tetê
62′
🔁 R. Faivre
↦ H. Aouar
Jean-Eudes Aholou 🟨
68′
H. Diarra 🔁
↦ J. Aholou
70′
F. Guilbert 🔁
↦ A. Caci
74′
84′
🔁 J. Reine-Adélaïde
↦ T. Ndombèlé
84′
🔁 B. Barcola
↦ M. Dembélé
90′
K. Toko-Ekambi 1–1
Ludovic Ajorque 🟨
91′
Ibrahima Sissoko 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Léo Dubois
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-5-2
1 M. Sels G
24 A. Djiku D
22 G. Nyamsi D
19 A. Caci M
5 L. Perrin D
11 D. Liénard M
6 J. Aholou M
27 I. Sissoko M
17 J. Bellegarde M
9 K. Gameiro F
25 L. Ajorque F
Bench (6)
35 H. Diarra
2 F. Guilbert
16 E. Kawashima
4 K. Fila
15 M. Sahi
20 H. Diallo

Coach: J. Stéphan

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
21 D. Da Silva D
14 L. Dubois D
12 Henrique D
5 J. Denayer D
28 T. Ndombèlé M
8 H. Aouar M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
20 Tetê M
7 K. Toko-Ekambi M
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (10)
30 J. Pollersbeck
11 T. Kadewere
15 R. Faivre
22 J. Reine-Adélaïde
26 B. Barcola
3 Emerson
40 M. Barcola
17 M. Gusto
27 J. Boateng
4 C. Lukeba

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,48
U ✓
3,41
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.