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Ligue 1
Referee: G Angoula
Reims
T T S S U
1–2
Full-time
Brest
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,98 xG 1,60
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 8
3 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 8. · Brest 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Monaco 5 3 2 0 +8 +4.7 11
2 Nice 5 2 3 0 +3 +4.8 9
3 Paris SG 5 2 2 1 +4 +5.0 8
4 Marseille 4 2 2 0 +3 +4.8 8
5 Lille 5 2 2 1 +0 +2.5 8
6 Metz 5 2 2 1 -2 -6.2 8
7 Rennes 5 1 4 0 +4 +5.5 7
8 Reims 4 2 1 1 +3 +1.7 7
9 Brest 4 2 1 1 +0 +1.3 7
10 Lorient 5 1 3 1 +0 -3.8 6
11 Strasbourg 4 2 0 2 -2 +0.0 6
12 Le Havre 4 1 2 1 +2 -1.9 5
13 Toulouse 4 1 2 1 -1 -5.0 5
14 Montpellier 4 1 1 2 +0 +1.7 4
15 Nantes 4 0 2 2 -3 -5.4 2
16 Clermont 4 0 1 3 -5 -2.0 1
17 Lens 5 0 1 4 -7 -1.9 1
18 Lyon 4 0 1 3 -7 -6.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Brest
18′
🟨 Kenny Lala
1–0 A. Richardson
Keito Nakamura
19′
Azor Matusiwa 🟨
22′
36′
🟨 Hugo Magnetti
Half-time 1–1
50′
M. Camara 1–1
Thibault De Smet 🟨
52′
56′
P. Lees-Melou 1–2
R. Del Castillo
M. Munetsi 🔁
↦ A. Richardson
60′
V. Atangana Edoa 🔁
↦ A. Matusiwa
60′
M. Daramy 🔁
↦ O. Diakité
60′
66′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ M. Satriano
66′
🔁 B. Brahimi
↦ J. Le Douaron
66′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ H. Magnetti
M. Diakhon 🔁
↦ Keito Nakamura
77′
A. Salama 🔁
↦ T. Foket
77′
77′
🔁 A. Lebeau
↦ M. Camara
88′
🟨 Steve Mounié
91′
🔁 A. Dari
↦ R. Del Castillo
92′
🟨 Marco Bizot
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Reims

4-3-3
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
25 T. De Smet D
21 A. Matusiwa M
8 A. Richardson M
10 T. Teuma M
7 J. Ito F
22 O. Diakité F
17 Keito Nakamura F
Bench (9)
15 M. Munetsi
6 V. Atangana Edoa
9 M. Daramy
67 M. Diakhon
11 A. Salama
14 R. Khadra
96 A. Olliero
41 I. Diakité
2 J. Okumu

Coach: W. Still

Brest

4-3-3
40 M. Bizot G
27 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
3 L. Brassier D
2 B. Locko D
45 M. Camara M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
8 H. Magnetti M
10 R. Del Castillo F
7 M. Satriano F
22 J. Le Douaron F
Bench (8)
9 S. Mounié
21 B. Brahimi
28 J. Martin
14 A. Lebeau
4 A. Dari
19 J. Amavi
11 A. Camblan
30 G. Coudert

Coach: E. Roy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,88
U
3,67
B ✓
4,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Angoula · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.