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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Brest
T S S S T
3–2
Full-time
Lens
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,55 xG 0,71
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 8
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Feb -23 Brest – Lens 1–1 22. Jan -23 Brest – Lens 1–3 7. Aug -22 Lens – Brest 3–2 5. Mar -22 Lens – Brest 0–1 21. Nov -21 Brest – Lens 4–0

Match report

Brest Lens
10′
⚽ F. Sotoca 0–1
A. Fulgini
22′
⚽ D. Machado 0–2
F. Medina
Pierre Lees Melou 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Haïdara
↦ J. Gradit
1–2 R. Del Castillo ⚽
47′
48′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
Lilian Brassier 🟨
49′
52′
🟨 Facundo Medina
2–2 K. Lala ⚽
56′
M. Camara 🔁
↦ Mathias Pereira Lage
67′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ H. Magnetti
67′
68′
🔁 David Pereira da Costa
↦ A. Fulgini
68′
🔁 A. Thomasson
↦ M. Guilavogui
S. Mounié 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
76′
78′
🔁 J. Le Cardinal
↦ P. Frankowski
82′
🟥 Adrien Thomasson
84′
🔁 S. Spierings
↦ A. Diouf
85′
🟨 Brice Samba
3–2 R. Del Castillo ⚽
87′
A. Camblan 🔁
↦ R. Del Castillo
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
27 K. Lala D
5 B. Chardonnet D
3 L. Brassier D
2 B. Locko D
8 H. Magnetti M
20 P. Lees-Melou M
26 Mathias Pereira Lage M
10 R. Del Castillo M
22 J. Le Douaron M
7 M. Satriano F
Bench (9)
45 M. Camara
28 J. Martin
9 S. Mounié
11 A. Camblan
70 K. Dembélé
4 A. Dari
23 C. Hérelle
18 H. Mbock
30 G. Coudert

Coach: E. Roy

Lens

3-4-2-1
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
4 K. Danso D
14 F. Medina D
29 P. Frankowski M
6 S. Abdul Samed M
18 A. Diouf M
3 D. Machado M
7 F. Sotoca F
20 A. Fulgini F
27 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (9)
21 M. Haïdara
10 David Pereira da Costa
28 A. Thomasson
26 J. Le Cardinal
5 S. Spierings
32 A. Sishuba
25 A. Khusanov
15 Ó. Cortés
16 J. Leca

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,88
🔒
U
3,53
🔒
B
1,96
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,01
🔒
U2,5
1,82
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.