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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
Eupen
U S T S T
1–3
Full-time
Standard
T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,6
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,25 xG 1,73
44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eupen 7. · Standard 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +13 +9.3 13
2 Cercle Brugge 5 4 0 1 +5 +5.5 12
3 RWD Molenbeek 6 3 1 2 -7 -3.4 10
4 Anderlecht 3 3 0 0 +3 -0.1 9
5 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +9 +0.8 7
6 Mechelen 4 2 1 1 +4 -0.5 7
7 Eupen 5 2 1 2 -3 -6.1 7
8 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.2 6
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 1 2 3 -4 +1.9 5
10 Genk 3 1 1 1 +3 +5.9 4
11 St Truiden 4 1 1 2 -2 -2.7 4
12 Charleroi 7 0 4 3 -5 -3.7 4
13 Standard 5 0 3 2 -2 -5.2 3
14 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -6 -3.8 1
15 Kortrijk 5 0 1 4 -11 -0.6 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Standard
22′
🟨 Isaac Hayden
43′
🟨 Steven Alzate
Half-time 0–0
T. Alloh 🔁
↦ Y. Van Genechten
46′
48′
W. Kanga 0–1
H. Kawabe
50′
H. Kawabe 0–2
58′
🟨 Hayao Kawabe
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ G. Magnée
68′
73′
🔁 A. O'Neill
↦ I. Hayden
73′
🔁 C. Çanak
↦ M. Djenepo
73′
🔁 N. Ngoy
↦ K. Laifis
75′
K. Sowah 0–3
C. Çanak
I. Christie-Davies 🔁
↦ B. Lambert
79′
79′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ H. Kawabe
1–3 A. Finnbogason
M. Pantović
80′
Isaac Christie-Davies 🟨
88′
J. Déom 🔁
↦ M. Pantović
88′
89′
🔁 G. Dewaele
↦ W. Balikwisha
Rune Paeshuyse ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
96′
103′
🟨 Steven Alzate
103′
🟥 Steven Alzate
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Eupen

3-4-1-2
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
3 J. Davidson D
15 G. Magnée M
35 B. Lambert M
6 B. Baiye M
2 Y. Van Genechten M
19 M. Pantović F
10 Regan Charles-Cook F
7 I. Nuhu F
Bench (7)
29 T. Alloh
27 A. Finnbogason
23 I. Christie-Davies
14 J. Déom
21 J. Král
25 A. Filin
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Standard

3-5-2
16 A. Bodart G
4 Z. Vanheusden D
20 M. Bokadi D
34 K. Laifis D
13 M. Fossey M
6 H. Kawabe M
11 I. Hayden M
17 S. Alzate M
19 M. Djenepo M
14 W. Kanga F
18 K. Sowah F
Bench (7)
24 A. O'Neill
61 C. Çanak
3 N. Ngoy
22 W. Balikwisha
2 G. Dewaele
10 N. Ohio
30 L. Henkinet

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,95
U
3,42
B ✓
2,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,78
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.