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LaLiga2
Referee: Manuel Orellana
Eibar
T S T T T
2–0
Full-time
Ferrol
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
40%
60%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 22. · Ferrol 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zaragoza 6 5 1 0 +8 16
2 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Leganes 5 4 0 1 +6 12
4 Tenerife 5 4 0 1 +5 12
5 Levante 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Santander 6 2 3 1 +3 9
7 Ferrol 5 2 3 0 +3 9
8 Amorebieta 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Albacete 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Sp Gijon 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Mirandes 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Burgos 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Eldense 5 2 1 2 -2 7
14 Valladolid 6 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Andorra 5 2 0 3 -3 6
16 Elche 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Villarreal B 6 1 2 3 -2 5
18 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Huesca 6 0 4 2 -4 4
20 Oviedo 5 0 3 2 -2 3
21 Cartagena 6 1 0 5 -5 3
22 Eibar 5 1 0 4 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Ferrol
1–0 Stoichkov
Matheus Pereira
25′
31′
🟨 Heber Pena Picos
Half-time 1–0
José Corpas 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
56′
Y. Rahmani 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
56′
62′
🟨 Sergio Cubero
2–0 Anaitz Arbilla
Unai Vencedor
63′
70′
🔁 Fran Manzanara
↦ Héber Pena
70′
🔁 Álvaro Giménez
↦ Sergio Cubero
71′
🔁 David Castro
↦ Enrique Clemente
J. Yriarte 🔁
↦ Unai Vencedor
72′
78′
🔁 Manu Justo
↦ Sabin Merino
79′
🔁 Álvaro Vadillo
↦ Iker Losada
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ Quique González
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 L. Zidane G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
6 Sergio Álvarez D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
2 Cristian Gutiérrez D
14 Unai Vencedor M
8 Matheus Pereira M
10 Ager Aketxe M
30 Mario Soriano M
19 Stoichkov M
7 Quique González F
Bench (9)
17 José Corpas
11 Y. Rahmani
12 J. Yriarte
18 Jon Bautista
31 Ángel Troncho
13 Yoel Rodríguez
32 Aritz Muguruza
22 S. Simič
21 Ríos Reina

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Ferrol

4-2-3-1
25 Ander Cantero G
24 Sergio Cubero D
4 Jon García D
5 Enrique Clemente D
18 Brais Martínez D
6 Jesús Bernal M
10 Josep Señé M
23 Carlos Vicente M
22 Iker Losada M
7 Héber Pena M
19 Sabin Merino F
Bench (10)
16 Fran Manzanara
20 Álvaro Giménez
15 David Castro
9 Manu Justo
14 Álvaro Vadillo
8 Álex López
1 G. Gazzaniga
2 Julián Delmás
21 Moi Delgado
13 Emilio Bernad

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,27
B
4,83
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Orellana · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.