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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

St Pauli

U S U U U

5–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

1,4

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

20%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

1,0

3,0

Scored

0,6

1,8

Conceded

0,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Pauli 11. · Holstein Kiel 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
2	Hamburg	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Holstein Kiel	5	4	0	1	+3	12
4	Magdeburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Kaiserslautern	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
7	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Wehen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-2	8
11	St Pauli	5	1	4	0	+1	7
12	Schalke 04	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Elversberg	6	2	1	3	-5	7
14	Paderborn	6	2	1	3	-5	7
15	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Hertha	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Osnabruck	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Schalke 04	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Hansa Rostock	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Wehen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Braunschweig	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+4	3
15	Elversberg	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	St Pauli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Osnabruck	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Magdeburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
5	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Kaiserslautern	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Wehen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Paderborn	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Hertha	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.