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Ligue 1
Referee: M Vernice
Metz
U S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Strasbourg
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,30 xG 0,62
38% Possession 62%
2 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -24 Strasbourg – Metz 2–1 24. Sep -23 Metz – Strasbourg 0–1 9. Jan -22 Metz – Strasbourg 0–2 17. Sep -21 Strasbourg – Metz 3–0 14. Feb -21 Metz – Strasbourg 1–2

Match report

Metz Strasbourg
31′
🟨 Mamadou Sarr
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Abdoul Ouattara
55′
🔁 D. Bakwa
↦ A. Ouattara
I. Gueye 🔁
↦ B. Madjo
59′
Jessy Deminguet 🟨
61′
Koffi Kouao 🟨
67′
72′
🔁 S. Nanasi
↦ S. El Mourabet
A. Toure 🔁
↦ J. Deminguet
73′
I. Sane 🔁
↦ C. Sabaly
73′
80′
🔁 K. Paez
↦ S. Amo-Ameyaw
M. Colin 🔁
↦ K. Kouao
84′
J. Nduquidi 🔁
↦ B. Traore
84′
86′
⚽ J. Panichelli 0–1
D. Bakwa
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Metz

5-3-2
1 J. Fischer G
39 K. Kouao D
38 S. Sane D
5 J. Gbamin D
4 U. Mboula D
7 G. Tsitaishvili D
8 B. Traore M
21 B. Stambouli M
20 J. Deminguet M
24 B. Madjo F
14 C. Sabaly F
Bench (9)
61 P. Sy
2 M. Colin
6 J. Nduquidi
22 K. Van Den Kerkhof
12 A. Toure
10 G. Abuashvili
18 I. Gueye
19 M. Bokele Mputu
23 I. Sane

Coach: Benoit Tavenot

Strasbourg

5-3-2
39 M. Penders G
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw D
18 J. Mwanga D
24 L. Hogsberg D
23 M. Sarr D
42 A. Ouattara D
80 F. Lemarechal M
29 S. El Mourabet M
32 V. Barco M
10 E. Emegha F
9 J. Panichelli F
Bench (9)
1 K. Johnsson
3 I. Samuels-Smith
77 E. Sobol
8 M. Oyedele
11 S. Nanasi
41 R. Nzingoula
14 S. Mara
16 K. Paez
26 D. Bakwa

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,86
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,89
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Vernice · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.