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Eredivisie

Referee: Dennis Higler

Willem II

S T T S T

1–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

75%

Points per game

1,5

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

50%

25%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,6

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%

16 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Willem II 11. · AZ Alkmaar 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	7	2	0	+23	23
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	Vitesse	9	6	2	1	+5	20
4	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	+15	19
5	Sparta Rotterdam	9	4	3	2	+2	15
6	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	+4	14
7	Heracles	9	4	2	3	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	4	2	+3	13
9	Feyenoord	9	3	4	2	+1	13
10	Twente	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Willem II	8	4	0	4	-3	12
12	Groningen	9	3	1	5	-2	10
13	VVV Venlo	8	3	0	5	-7	9
14	Zwolle	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	FC Emmen	9	2	1	6	-8	7
16	Den Haag	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	For Sittard	9	1	3	5	-11	6
18	Waalwijk	9	0	1	8	-21	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Ajax	4	4	0	0	+15	12
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	10
4	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+9	10
5	Sparta Rotterdam	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Utrecht	4	3	0	1	+5	9
7	Feyenoord	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	FC Emmen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Heerenveen	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Groningen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
12	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-1	6
13	VVV Venlo	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Twente	4	1	2	1	+1	5
15	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Den Haag	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Waalwijk	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	5	3	2	0	+8	11
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Heracles	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Twente	5	2	1	2	-2	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	-2	7
7	Heerenveen	4	2	0	2	+2	6
8	Willem II	4	2	0	2	-2	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Feyenoord	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Groningen	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Den Haag	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Zwolle	5	1	0	4	-6	3
16	For Sittard	4	0	1	3	-11	1
17	Waalwijk	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	FC Emmen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.