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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Twente

U U S U U

3–1

Full-time

Utrecht

S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Utrecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 88%

75%

100%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Twente 8. · Utrecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	4	3	0	1	+2	9
2	Vitesse	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ajax	3	2	1	0	+8	7
5	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	+6	7
6	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Twente	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	Heerenveen	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	VVV Venlo	5	2	0	3	-4	6
12	Heracles	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Groningen	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Feyenoord	3	0	3	0	+0	3
16	FC Emmen	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Waalwijk	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Heerenveen	3	0	3	0	+0	3
8	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	FC Emmen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Willem II	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Den Haag	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Twente	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Zwolle	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Heracles	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Groningen	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Willem II	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Ajax	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Vitesse	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Twente	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Groningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Den Haag	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	VVV Venlo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Feyenoord	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Waalwijk	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	FC Emmen	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.