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Eredivisie
Referee: G van Oostrom
Willem II
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Zwolle
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
16 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 9. · Zwolle 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Heerenveen 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +5 4
5 Utrecht 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 For Sittard 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Waalwijk 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -2 4
9 Willem II 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 Cambuur 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Vitesse 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 Nijmegen 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Heracles 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Twente 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Zwolle
23′
🔁 C. Landu
↦ P. Clement
Half-time 1–0
1–0 G. Sağlam
M. Köhlert
53′
69′
🔁 S. Lagsir
↦ K. Paal
E. Kabangu 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
72′
M. Svensson 🔁
↦ G. Sağlam
72′
81′
🔁 G. Kastaneer
↦ E. Reijnders
G. Roemeratoe 🔁
↦ D. Saddiki
82′
W. Spieringhs 🔁
↦ K. Wriedt
88′
R. Zuijderwijk 🔁
↦ M. Köhlert
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
21 T. Wellenreuther G
3 F. Heerkens D
4 U. Jenssen D
13 L. Owusu D
27 D. Köhn D
8 Pol Llonch M
23 G. Sağlam M
17 D. Saddiki M
9 K. Wriedt F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (10)
14 E. Kabangu
15 M. Svensson
20 G. Roemeratoe
22 W. Spieringhs
16 R. Zuijderwijk
25 N. Michelis
24 C. van den Berg
28 V. Schippers
12 D. Ryan
26 J. Brondeel

Coach: F. Grim

Zwolle

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
5 K. Paal F
4 Y. Nakayama M
34 M. De Wit D
3 S. Voet D
33 R. van den Berg D
10 P. Clement F
20 T. van den Belt M
9 S. Tedić F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (8)
45 C. Landu
21 S. Lagsir
7 G. Kastaneer
22 D. Chirino
13 R. Strieder
40 M. Hauptmeijer
27 M. Pabai
16 J. Schendelaar

Coach: A. Langeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,17
U
3,39
B
3,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.