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Super League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
Apollon
U U T S T
2–2
Full-time
AEK
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apollon AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
17%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,2
This season — Super League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
11%
78%
Points per game
0,7
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,4
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

30% Possession 70%
5 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 14
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Apollon 13. · AEK 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 9 7 1 1 +11 22
2 Olympiakos 8 6 2 0 +9 20
3 PAOK 8 5 1 2 +7 16
4 Aris Thessalonikis 8 4 2 2 +6 14
5 Aris 8 4 2 2 +6 14
6 Volos NFC 8 4 2 2 +1 14
7 Giannina 9 3 4 2 +3 13
8 OFI Crete 10 2 7 1 +1 13
9 Ionikos 9 3 3 3 -3 12
10 Panathinaikos 9 3 2 4 +7 11
11 Asteras Tripolis 8 2 3 3 -2 9
12 Lamia 9 1 3 5 -4 6
13 Apollon 9 1 3 5 -12 6
14 Panetolikos 10 1 2 7 -15 5
15 Atromitos 10 0 3 7 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Apollon AEK
13′
L. Garcia 0–1
P. Mantalos
Dimos Baxevanidis 🟨
18′
A. Ntentakis 🔁
↦ Domingues
32′
1–1 N. Ioannidis
N. Martínez
41′
Half-time 1–1
48′
🟨 Georgios Tzavellas
2–1 G. Pamlidis
62′
66′
🔁 K. Ansarifard
↦ D. Le Tallec
72′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ L. Garcia
72′
🔁 E. Hajsafi
↦ M. Mohammadi
Nikos Ioannidis 🟨
75′
77′
🟨 Sergio Araujo
80′
S. Araújo 2–2
N. Amrabat
F. Matei 🔁
↦ N. Martínez
81′
84′
🔁 D. Szymański
↦ André Simões
84′
🔁 C. Michelin
↦ L. Rota
Antonis Dentakis 🟨
86′
R. van La Parra 🔁
↦ N. Ioannidis
89′
Edwin Castro 🟨
90′
G. Papageorgiou 🔁
↦ G. Pamlidis
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Apollon

4-2-3-1
1 K. Kotsaris G
22 Bruno Alves D
5 Domingues D
6 D. Baxevanidis D
17 J. Tutuarima D
10 N. Martínez M
64 F. Andoni M
21 F. Castro M
23 S. Tsiloulis M
9 N. Ioannidis F
7 G. Pamlidis F
Bench (9)
2 A. Ntentakis
8 F. Matei
91 R. van La Parra
11 G. Papageorgiou
3 V. Vitlis
77 W. Sahli
18 E. Kragiopoulos
27 A. Dauda
13 D. Verhulst

Coach: G. Festa

AEK

4-2-3-1
23 C. Stanković G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 O. Vranješ D
3 M. Mohammadi D
12 L. Rota D
6 D. Le Tallec M
17 S. Zuber M
20 P. Mantalos M
8 André Simões M
11 S. Araújo F
9 L. Garcia F
Bench (9)
10 K. Ansarifard
7 N. Amrabat
26 E. Hajsafi
4 D. Szymański
19 C. Michelin
28 Y. Shakhov
5 E. Svarnas
22 M. Tankovic
1 P. Tsintotas

Coach: A. Giannikis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,42
U ✓
4,20
B
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,84
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.