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2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

T S U T S

2–1

Full-time

Ingolstadt

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Ingolstadt

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

75%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

75%

42%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

2,2

0,6

Conceded

1,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

20 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 3

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Ingolstadt 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	8	2	2	+17	26
2	Regensburg	12	7	4	1	+15	25
3	Schalke 04	12	7	1	4	+8	22
4	Paderborn	12	6	3	3	+11	21
5	Nurnberg	13	5	6	2	+6	21
6	Darmstadt	12	6	2	4	+13	20
7	Hamburg	12	4	7	1	+5	19
8	Werder Bremen	13	5	4	4	+0	19
9	Heidenheim	12	5	3	4	-4	18
10	Karlsruhe	12	4	4	4	+0	16
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-7	14
13	Holstein Kiel	13	3	5	5	-9	14
14	Dresden	13	4	1	8	-4	13
15	Hannover	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Sandhausen	12	3	3	6	-11	12
17	Erzgebirge Aue	12	1	5	6	-10	8
18	Ingolstadt	12	1	2	9	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	6	6	0	0	+16	18
2	Darmstadt	6	5	0	1	+13	15
3	Regensburg	6	4	2	0	+9	14
4	Nurnberg	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Heidenheim	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Schalke 04	6	3	1	2	+5	10
7	Dresden	6	3	0	3	+3	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Hamburg	6	1	5	0	+1	8
10	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-3	7
12	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-4	7
13	Holstein Kiel	7	2	1	4	-7	7
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	+0	5
15	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	-1	5
16	Erzgebirge Aue	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Ingolstadt	6	0	2	4	-8	2
18	Sandhausen	6	0	2	4	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	1	0	+12	16
2	Schalke 04	6	4	0	2	+3	12
3	Regensburg	6	3	2	1	+6	11
4	Hamburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
5	Werder Bremen	7	3	2	2	-1	11
6	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+0	10
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	St Pauli	6	2	2	2	+1	8
9	Karlsruhe	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Nurnberg	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Holstein Kiel	6	1	4	1	-2	7
12	Hansa Rostock	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Heidenheim	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	+0	5
15	Hannover	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Dresden	7	1	1	5	-7	4
17	Erzgebirge Aue	6	0	3	3	-5	3
18	Ingolstadt	6	1	0	5	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.