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Ligue 2

Auxerre

U U T S S

4–1

Full-time

Pau FC

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Auxerre Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 40%

43%

36%

Average goals

2,5

1,9

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 1

17 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Auxerre 3. · Pau FC 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	8	5	1	+19	29
2	Sochaux	14	8	4	2	+7	28
3	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+7	26
4	Ajaccio	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Le Havre	14	6	6	2	+6	24
6	Paris FC	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Niort	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Pau FC	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Rodez	14	5	4	5	+1	19
10	Guingamp	14	4	6	4	-1	18
11	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	-4	18
12	Caen	14	4	4	6	+0	16
13	Dunkerque	14	4	4	6	-3	16
14	Dijon	14	5	1	8	-6	16
15	Quevilly Rouen	14	4	4	6	-6	16
16	Valenciennes	14	4	3	7	-10	15
17	Nimes	14	3	5	6	-3	14
18	Amiens	14	2	7	5	-2	13
19	Bastia	14	2	6	6	-5	12
20	Nancy	14	1	6	7	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	7	5	1	1	+7	16
2	Pau FC	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Auxerre	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Le Havre	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Grenoble	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Niort	6	3	1	2	+3	10
9	Dijon	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Paris FC	6	2	3	1	+2	9
11	Bastia	7	1	6	0	+2	9
12	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Dunkerque	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Guingamp	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Caen	8	2	1	5	+0	7
16	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-1	6
17	Nimes	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Nancy	7	1	3	3	-7	6
19	Quevilly Rouen	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Valenciennes	7	1	1	5	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	7	4	3	0	+9	15
2	Sochaux	7	4	2	1	+4	14
3	Paris FC	8	4	0	4	+0	12
4	Auxerre	7	3	3	1	-1	12
5	Niort	8	3	2	3	-1	11
6	Valenciennes	7	3	2	2	-1	11
7	Quevilly Rouen	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	Le Havre	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Guingamp	8	2	4	2	-1	10
11	Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	Caen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
13	Nimes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Amiens	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Dijon	6	2	0	4	-4	6
17	Pau FC	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Grenoble	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Bastia	7	1	0	6	-7	3
20	Nancy	7	0	3	4	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.