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Eredivisie
Referee: M van den Kerkhof
Vitesse
T S S S T
3–0
Full-time
Heracles
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Heracles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Ajax 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Feyenoord 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Twente 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Utrecht 3 1 2 0 +2 5
8 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Willem II 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 VVV Venlo 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Heracles 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Groningen 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 AZ Alkmaar 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 FC Emmen 3 0 1 2 -3 1
15 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -5 0
17 Waalwijk 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 0 3 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Heracles
Oussama Tannane 🟨
31′
Matúš Bero 🟨
33′
1–0 L. Openda
M. Bero
34′
36′
🟨 Teun Bijleveld
2–0 O. Darfalou
L. Openda
37′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 S. van der Water
↦ T. Bijleveld
46′
🔁 L. Schoofs
↦ M. Rente
46′
🔁 J. Cijntje
↦ S. Bakış
3–0 O. Tannane
O. Darfalou
63′
66′
🔁 D. Burgzorg
↦ A. Szőke
I. Touré 🔁
↦ M. Bero
74′
A. Broja 🔁
↦ L. Openda
74′
D. Huisman 🔁
↦ O. Darfalou
83′
E. Cornelisse 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
90′
H. Gong 🔁
↦ O. Tannane
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Vitesse

3-5-2
22 R. Pasveer G
18 T. Hájek D
2 E. Dasa M
32 M. Wittek M
3 D. Doekhi D
20 T. Bruns M
21 M. Bero M
10 R. Bazoer D
14 O. Tannane M
9 O. Darfalou F
7 L. Openda F
Bench (9)
27 I. Touré
11 A. Broja
40 D. Huisman
39 E. Cornelisse
17 H. Gong
36 P. Vroegh
42 M. Manhoef
29 T. Buitink
24 J. Houwen

Coach: T. Letsch

Heracles

5-3-2
16 M. Brouwer G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
13 M. Knoester D
5 M. Rente D
10 R. Vloet M
8 T. Bijleveld M
6 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
9 S. Bakış F
17 A. Szőke F
Bench (9)
11 S. van der Water
15 L. Schoofs
7 J. Cijntje
37 D. Burgzorg
21 D. Mesenhöler
22 M. Leš
14 L. de la Torre
26 K. Bucker
3 G. Quagliata

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
4,02
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M van den Kerkhof · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.