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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Heerenveen
U U S T T
3–1
Full-time
Waalwijk
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Waalwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,25 xG 2,22
46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -23 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–4 7. Jan -23 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 0–0 12. Mar -22 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 0–0 21. Aug -21 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 3–2 14. Jan -21 Heerenveen – Waalwijk 1–1

Match report

Heerenveen Waalwijk
1–0 I. Nicolăescu ⚽
S. Olsson
24′
2–0 P. Bochniewicz ⚽
T. Haye
30′
3–0 O. Sahraoui ⚽
A. Tahiri
43′
Half-time 3–1
60′
⚽ M. Kramer 3–1
D. Karlsbakk 🔁
↦ I. Nicolăescu
61′
64′
🔁 J. Bruma
↦ D. Van den Buijs
64′
🔁 C. Lokesa
↦ G. Roemeratoe
D. Hall 🔁
↦ Hussein Ali Haidar
71′
71′
🔁 R. Margaret
↦ D. Cleonise
79′
🟨 Kevin Felida
84′
🔁 P. Vroegh
↦ J. Lelieveld
84′
🔁 R. Meir
↦ T. Lutonda
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-4-2
44 A. Noppert G
15 Hussein Ali Haidar D
6 S. van Ottele D
5 P. Bochniewicz D
7 M. Köhlert D
17 C. Nunnely M
33 T. Haye M
26 A. Tahiri M
20 O. Sahraoui M
19 S. Olsson F
18 I. Nicolăescu F
Bench (10)
9 D. Karlsbakk
2 D. Hall
42 R. van der Plaat
22 B. Klaverboer
40 E. van Ee
21 D. Nunumete
14 C. Webster
38 M. Witteveen
23 J. Bekkema
45 O. Braude

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Waalwijk

4-4-2
1 E. Vaessen G
2 J. Lelieveld D
23 J. Gaari D
3 D. Van den Buijs D
5 T. Lutonda D
11 Z. Bakkali M
24 G. Roemeratoe M
35 K. Felida M
7 D. Cleonise M
29 M. Kramer F
9 D. Min F
Bench (9)
25 J. Bruma
14 C. Lokesa
19 R. Margaret
8 P. Vroegh
22 R. Meir
4 S. Adewoye
13 M. Spenkelink
21 J. Houwen
34 L. Wouters

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
🔒
U
4,03
🔒
B
4,26
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
U2,5
2,36
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.