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Primeira Liga

Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro

Sp Lisbon

U T U S S

2–3

Full-time

Rio Ave

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Rio Ave

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,8

Scored

2,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

9 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 2

4 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sp Lisbon 5. · Rio Ave 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Moreirense	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Sp Lisbon	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
7	Tondela	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Sp Braga	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Maritimo	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Gil Vicente	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Aves	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Belenenses	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
19	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Gil Vicente	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Benfica	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Guimaraes	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Tondela	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Belenenses	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Moreirense	3	0	2	1	-2	2
12	Sp Braga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-5	1
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Aves	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.