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Pro League
Referee: J Lardot
4–0
Full-time
Standard
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 64%
67%
60%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 47%
33%
60%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gilloise 13. · Standard 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 7 4 1 2 +4 13
2 Oostende 6 4 0 2 +0 12
3 Eupen 7 3 2 2 +4 11
4 Anderlecht 4 3 1 0 +7 10
5 Charleroi 6 2 4 0 +6 10
6 Standard 5 3 1 1 +0 10
7 Seraing 6 3 0 3 -3 9
8 Seraing United 6 3 0 3 -3 9
9 Club Brugge 4 2 2 0 +5 8
10 Genk 4 2 1 1 +4 7
11 Mechelen 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 St Truiden 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 St. Gilloise 3 2 0 1 +3 6
14 Waregem 5 1 2 2 -3 5
15 Cercle Brugge 7 1 2 4 -3 5
16 Antwerp 4 1 1 2 +1 4
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5 0 3 2 -7 3
18 Gent 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -9 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gilloise Standard
22′
🟨 Daouda Peeters
1–0 C. Nielsen
23′
2–0 D. Vanzeir
S. Lynen
39′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Rafia
↦ N. Raskin
46′
🔁 C. Fai
↦ H. Siquet
46′
🔁 D. Drăguş
↦ D. Peeters
3–0 D. Vanzeir
C. Nielsen
52′
53′
🟨 Ameen Al-Dakhil
64′
🔁 A. Dønnum
↦ G. Cimirot
70′
🟨 Hamza Rafia
4–0 D. Vanzeir
71′
Casper Nielsen 🟨
75′
G. François 🔁
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
77′
L. Amani 🔁
↦ S. Lynen
85′
87′
🟨 Selim Amallah
M. Sorinola 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
90′
L. Paolucci 🔁
↦ D. Vanzeir
90′
91′
🟨 João Klauss
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
59 I. Kandouss D
25 D. Marcq M
6 C. Nielsen M
20 S. Lynen M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
19 G. François
8 L. Amani
7 M. Sorinola
11 L. Paolucci
21 L. Pirard
44 S. Van der Heyden
10 M. Lewis

Coach: F. Mazzù

Standard

4-1-4-1
16 A. Bodart G
24 N. Gavory D
5 M. Sissako D
3 A. Al Dakhil D
2 H. Siquet D
8 G. Cimirot M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
15 D. Peeters M
26 N. Raskin M
9 Klauss F
Bench (7)
12 H. Rafia
21 C. Fai
7 D. Drăguş
11 A. Dønnum
40 M. Epolo
33 N. Ngoy
37 O. Dumont

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,69
B
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Lardot · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.