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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Gent
S S S S U
5–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 29/35 matches
Win Ø 41%
52%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
45%
60%
Both score Ø 58%
45%
71%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
26 Shots 7
12 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +49 70
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Anderlecht 29 18 8 3 +47 62
4 Antwerp 30 19 5 6 +22 62
5 Gent 29 15 8 6 +21 53
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 29 14 7 8 +11 49
8 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
9 Genk 29 14 5 10 +23 47
10 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
11 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 35 10 9 16 -16 39
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oud-Heverlee Leuven
17′
🟨 Louis Patris
1–0 J. De Sart
S. Kums
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Mathieu Maertens
2–0 T. Tissoudali
48′
52′
🟨 Casper De Norre
60′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ M. Kukharevych
61′
🔁 S. Kaba
↦ S. Schrijvers
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
76′
D. Lemajić 🔁
↦ L. Depoitre
76′
78′
🔁 L. Shengelia
↦ C. De Norre
84′
🟨 Sory Kaba
Núrio Fortuna 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
85′
E. Owusu 🔁
↦ J. De Sart
85′
3–0 A. Hjulsager
A. Hanche-Olsen
86′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
87′
4–0 T. Tissoudali
89′
5–0 T. Tissoudali
A. Hjulsager
90′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngadeu D
20 J. Torunarigha D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus F
13 J. De Sart M
18 M. Samoise M
29 L. Depoitre F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
17 A. Hjulsager
11 D. Lemajić
25 Núrio Fortuna
6 E. Owusu
31 B. Godeau
1 S. Bolat
23 Y. Malede

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
90 R. Romo G
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre M
35 C. Özkaçar D
25 L. Patris D
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
17 M. Kukharevych F
Bench (7)
21 A. De Sart
9 S. Kaba
19 L. Shengelia
38 O. Ravet
4 K. Malinov
15 D. Ouédraogo
3 S. Chakla

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,32
B
11,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.