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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Kortrijk
U T T T S
1–4
Full-time
Mechelen
U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,5
4,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 44%
25%
63%
Average goals
1,5
3,9
Scored
0,6
1,8
Conceded
0,9
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 9. · Mechelen 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 6 1 0 +16 19
2 Antwerp 6 6 0 0 +10 18
3 Charleroi 8 5 0 3 +2 15
4 Club Brugge 6 4 1 1 +9 13
5 Anderlecht 8 4 1 3 +6 13
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 4 1 2 +2 13
7 St. Gilloise 6 4 1 1 +2 13
8 St Truiden 8 2 4 2 -1 10
9 Kortrijk 8 3 1 4 -2 10
10 Standard 5 3 0 2 -1 9
11 Waregem 8 2 2 4 -4 8
12 Gent 5 2 1 2 +1 7
13 Mechelen 8 2 1 5 -3 7
14 Oostende 7 2 0 5 -4 6
15 Seraing 7 2 0 5 -7 6
16 Seraing United 7 2 0 5 -7 6
17 Eupen 8 2 0 6 -8 6
18 Cercle Brugge 5 1 2 2 -4 5
19 Westerlo 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Mechelen
24′
🟨 Geoffry Hairemans
Kevin Vandendriessche 🟨
30′
37′
S. Walsh 0–1
41′
R. Schoofs 0–2
J. Ngoy
Half-time 0–2
D. Mbayo 🔁
↦ N. Mehssatou
46′
53′
G. Hairemans 0–3
R. Schoofs
Stjepan Lončar ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
61′
61′
🟨 Jordi Vanlerberghe
63′
🔁 D. Bates
↦ N. Storm
1–3 D. Lamkel Zé
63′
68′
🟨 Alessio Da Cruz
João Silva 🟨
70′
M. Bruno 🔁
↦ K. Vandendriessche
73′
A. Radovanović 🔁
↦ João Silva
73′
H. Keïta 🔁
↦ S. Lončar
73′
75′
🔁 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
↦ G. Hairemans
75′
🔁 Y. Malede
↦ Alessio Da Cruz
F. Avenatti 🔁
↦ B. Messaoudi
78′
Kristof D'Haene 🟨
83′
88′
🟨 Yonas Malede
90′
🟨 Julien Ngoy
93′
R. Schoofs 1–4
S. Walsh
95′
🔁 J. Hernández
↦ S. Walsh
95′
🔁 J. Van Hecke
↦ J. Ngoy
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Kortrijk

3-5-2
31 M. Ilić G
4 T. Watanabe D
44 João Silva D
24 D. Dessoleil D
25 N. Mehssatou M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
33 S. Lončar M
32 S. Tanaka M
30 K. D'Haene M
22 D. Lamkel Zé F
9 B. Messaoudi F
Bench (7)
7 D. Mbayo
70 M. Bruno
66 A. Radovanović
12 H. Keïta
20 F. Avenatti
1 T. Vandenberghe
17 P. Guèye

Coach: A. Čustović

Mechelen

4-3-3
1 G. Coucke G
5 S. Walsh D
30 J. Vanlerberghe D
23 T. Peyre D
18 A. Van Hoorenbeeck D
66 B. Verstraete M
22 Alessio Da Cruz M
16 R. Schoofs M
7 G. Hairemans F
9 J. Ngoy F
11 N. Storm F
Bench (7)
27 D. Bates
21 B. Bolingoli-Mbombo
10 Y. Malede
8 J. Hernández
6 J. Van Hecke
4 D. Wouters
15 Y. Thoelen

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,59
U
3,58
B ✓
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,12
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.