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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

Standard

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Genk

U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,2

2,8

Scored

2,3

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

44%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 0,94

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 5

20 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Standard 9. · Genk 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	8	0	1	+16	+12.1	24
2	Cercle Brugge	10	8	0	2	+11	+10.4	24
3	Anderlecht	9	6	2	1	+10	+4.1	20
4	Antwerp	10	4	5	1	+17	+11.7	17
5	Genk	9	4	4	1	+12	+12.5	16
6	Gent	9	4	4	1	+3	+2.3	16
7	Club Brugge	9	4	2	3	+11	+13.3	14
8	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-7.7	13
9	Standard	9	3	3	3	-4	-10.1	12
10	Mechelen	9	3	2	4	-3	-2.0	11
11	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-5	-5.2	11
12	Charleroi	12	2	4	6	-8	-8.0	10
13	Eupen	12	2	2	8	-16	-18.6	8
14	Kortrijk	11	2	2	7	-16	-6.0	8
15	Westerlo	10	1	3	6	-8	-6.5	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	2	6	-11	-2.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	5	5	0	0	+8	+6.2	15
2	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.9	12
3	Anderlecht	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.5	12
4	Antwerp	5	3	2	0	+15	+11.0	11
5	Gent	5	3	2	0	+3	-0.3	11
6	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.1	10
7	Genk	6	2	3	1	+5	+7.9	9
8	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.8	9
9	Club Brugge	4	2	2	0	+8	+6.5	8
10	Kortrijk	6	2	2	2	-2	-2.2	8
11	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
12	Standard	5	2	1	2	+0	-4.6	7
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.0	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	4	1	0	3	-5	-4.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	5	4	0	1	+4	+5.1	12
2	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
3	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.6	8
4	Genk	3	2	1	0	+7	+4.6	7
5	Club Brugge	5	2	0	3	+3	+6.7	6
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
8	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
9	Standard	4	1	2	1	-4	-5.6	5
10	RWD Molenbeek	5	1	2	2	-6	-3.2	5
11	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	-12.8	4
12	Westerlo	6	0	3	3	-3	-1.9	3
13	Mechelen	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.1	1
14	Charleroi	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.9	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	0	1	5	-13	-2.2	1
16	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-14	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.