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Bundesliga
Referee: G Grobelnik
Sturm Graz
U S T U T
4–0
Full-time
Altach
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Altach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
18 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · Altach 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 LASK 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 SK Rapid 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Salzburg 3 2 0 1 +4 6
4 Sturm Graz 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Altach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
6 A. Lustenau 3 1 1 1 +0 4
7 Tirol 4 1 1 2 -1 4
8 Ried 4 1 1 2 -1 4
9 A. Klagenfurt 4 1 1 2 -2 4
10 Austria Vienna 4 1 1 2 -3 4
11 Hartberg 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Wolfsberger AC 3 0 2 1 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Dec -21 Altach – Sturm Graz 0–1 7. Aug -21 Sturm Graz – Altach 3–1 30. Jan -21 Altach – Sturm Graz 2–1 4. Oct -20 Sturm Graz – Altach 4–0 8. Dec -19 Sturm Graz – Altach 1–2

Match report

Sturm Graz Altach
1–0 R. Højlund ⚽
A. Prass
15′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Stefan Haudum
56′
🔁 A. Tibidi
↦ J. Tartarotti
56′
🔁 J. Jurčec
↦ E. Schreiner
Jon Gorenc Stanković 🟨
60′
David Affengruber 🟨
65′
66′
🟨 Dominik Reiter
66′
🟨 Dominik Reiter
66′
🟥 Dominik Reiter
E. Emegha 🔁
↦ M. Sarkaria
68′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ J. Gorenc-Stankovic
68′
2–0 E. Emegha ⚽
72′
73′
🟨 Jan Zwischenbrugger
73′
🟨 Lukas Jäger
73′
🔁 F. Amankwah
↦ L. Gugganig
M. Wels 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
77′
3–0 M. Wels ⚽
R. Højlund
78′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 S. Aigner
↦ S. Haudum
83′
🔁 C. Bukta
↦ M. Thurnwald
D. Oroz 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
86′
C. Lang 🔁
↦ R. Højlund
86′
4–0 E. Emegha ⚽
C. Lang
89′
92′
🟨 Atdhe Nuhiu
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
28 D. Schnegg D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc-Stankovic M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
20 E. Emegha
30 I. Ljubic
37 M. Wels
18 D. Oroz
26 C. Lang
6 A. Borković
32 T. Schützenauer

Coach: C. Ilzer

Altach

4-2-3-1
13 T. Casali G
34 M. Thurnwald D
18 J. Zwischenbrugger D
5 L. Gugganig D
17 N. Edokpolor D
23 L. Jäger M
27 S. Haudum M
10 D. Reiter M
20 J. Tartarotti M
16 E. Schreiner M
9 A. Nuhiu F
Bench (7)
29 A. Tibidi
28 J. Jurčec
15 F. Amankwah
19 S. Aigner
11 C. Bukta
32 J. Odehnal
26 E. Yabantas

Coach: M. Klose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Grobelnik · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.