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Bundesliga

Referee: S Gishamer

Sturm Graz

S S U T U

1–0

Full-time

Tirol

U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

0,6

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Tirol 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	7	1	1	+17	22
2	Sturm Graz	8	5	3	0	+10	18
3	LASK	9	4	3	2	+5	15
4	A. Klagenfurt	9	3	5	1	+4	14
5	Wolfsberger AC	9	3	4	2	-1	13
6	Hartberg	8	3	3	2	-2	12
7	Altach	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	SK Rapid	8	2	4	2	+6	10
9	BW Linz	9	2	3	4	-8	9
10	Austria Vienna	8	1	2	5	-7	5
11	Tirol	8	1	2	5	-8	5
12	A. Lustenau	9	0	2	7	-14	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Salzburg	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Wolfsberger AC	5	2	1	2	-2	7
5	SK Rapid	5	1	3	1	+3	6
6	Altach	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	A. Klagenfurt	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Hartberg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
9	BW Linz	4	0	3	1	-5	3
10	Austria Vienna	3	0	2	1	-3	2
11	Tirol	4	0	1	3	-5	1
12	A. Lustenau	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Sturm Graz	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	A. Klagenfurt	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Hartberg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	BW Linz	5	2	0	3	-3	6
7	Altach	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	SK Rapid	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	LASK	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Austria Vienna	5	1	0	4	-4	3
12	A. Lustenau	4	0	2	2	-3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.