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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Dender
S U U U T
0–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
4,7
Scored
0,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,83 xG 2,11
41% Possession 59%
8 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dender 13. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.9 9
2 St. Gilloise 3 2 1 0 +8 +7.1 7
3 Anderlecht 3 2 0 1 +4 +4.2 6
4 St Truiden 2 1 1 0 +2 +3.4 4
5 Mechelen 2 1 1 0 +1 -2.3 4
6 Standard 3 1 1 1 -1 -1.3 4
7 Waregem 4 1 1 2 -2 -0.7 4
8 Gent 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.2 3
9 Westerlo 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.8 3
10 RAAL La Louviere 3 1 0 2 -2 -2.3 3
11 Antwerp 1 0 1 0 +0 -1.7 1
12 Charleroi 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.0 1
13 Dender 2 0 1 1 -2 -2.8 1
14 Genk 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.4 0
15 Cercle Brugge 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.8 0
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0 0 1 -5 -2.6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dender Anderlecht
17′
🟨 Enric Llansana
Half-time 0–0
B. Goncalves 🔁
↦ J. Pupe
52′
60′
🔁 C. S. Huerta Valera
↦ Y. Verschaeren
61′
🔁 K. Dolberg
↦ A. Bertaccini
Bryan Goncalves 🟨
66′
71′
C. S. Huerta Valera 0–1
N. Angulo
R. Oratmangoen 🔁
↦ M. Viltard
74′
B. Nsimba 🔁
↦ N. Mbamba
74′
81′
🔁 N. Saliba
↦ N. De Cat
D. Hrncar 🔁
↦ L. De Fougerolles
82′
M. S. Dion 🔁
↦ B. Fredrick
82′
84′
T. Hazard 0–2
N. Angulo
88′
🔁 M. Stroeykens
↦ T. Hazard
88′
🔁 T. Degreef
↦ N. Angulo
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dender

5-3-2
34 M. Verrips G
22 B. Fredrick D
5 L. Marijnissen D
44 L. De Fougerolles D
3 J. Pupe D
88 F. Ferraro D
24 M. Viltard M
18 N. Rodes M
17 N. Mbamba M
16 R. Kvet F
11 A. Scheidler F
Bench (9)
30 G. Dietsch
7 B. Goncalves
20 D. Hrncar
21 K. Cools
67 N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
15 K. Koton
10 M. S. Dion
26 R. Oratmangoen
77 B. Nsimba

Coach: Yannick Ferrera

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
79 A. Maamar D
3 L. Hey D
55 M. Kana D
6 L. Augustinsson D
74 N. De Cat M
24 E. Llansana M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
11 T. Hazard M
19 N. Angulo M
91 A. Bertaccini F
Bench (9)
16 M. Kikkenborg
5 M. N'Diaye
58 Y. Ozcan
13 N. Saliba
21 C. S. Huerta Valera
29 M. Stroeykens
12 K. Dolberg
20 L. Vazquez
83 T. Degreef

Coach: Jeremy Taravel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,67
U
3,61
B ✓
1,91
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.