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Europa League
Referee: Nenad Minaković
Midtjylland
S S S S U
3–1
Full-time
Celtic
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
3,0
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 61%
89%
33%
Points per game
2,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 56%
44%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,4
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,9
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,73 xG 0,98
60% Possession 40%
24 Shots 5
12 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 9
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland Celtic
13′
🟨 Liam Scales
1–0 M. Erlic ⚽
M. Gogorza
33′
2–0 M. Gogorza ⚽
35′
3–0 Franculino ⚽
41′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 C. Osmand
↦ J. Kenny
46′
🔁 D. Maeda
↦ J. Forrest
D. Castillo 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
59′
A. Simsir 🔁
↦ M. Gogorza
59′
Junior Brumado 🔁
↦ Franculino
59′
69′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ B. Nygren
V. Byskov 🔁
↦ P. Billing
71′
75′
🔁 P. Bernardo
↦ A. Engels
75′
🔁 M. Balikwisha
↦ S. Tounekti
81′
⚽ R. Hatate 3–1
O. Diao 🔁
↦ M. Erlic
85′
89′
🟨 Paulo Bernardo
95′
🟨 Daizen Maeda
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-2-3-1
16 E. Olafsson G
43 K. Mbabu D
3 Lee Han-Beom D
6 M. Erlic D
22 M. Bech Sorensen D
19 P. Bravo M
8 P. Billing M
11 D. Osorio M
10 Cho Gue-Sung M
41 M. Gogorza M
7 Franculino F
Bench (12)
1 J. Lossl
60 M. Ugboh
4 O. Diao
20 V. Byskov
21 D. Castillo
33 A. Djabi
55 V. Bak
58 A. Simsir
74 Junior Brumado
80 Dani Silva
90 F. Etim
29 Paulinho

Coach: Mike Tullberg

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 K. Schmeichel G
56 A. Ralston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
49 J. Forrest M
8 B. Nygren M
23 S. Tounekti M
24 J. Kenny F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
31 R. Doohan
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
14 L. McCowan
19 C. Osmand
28 P. Bernardo
36 M. Saracchi
38 D. Maeda
41 R. Hatate
47 D. Murray
51 C. Donovan
10 M. Balikwisha

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.