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Europa League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Nice
S T S S T
1–3
Full-time
Freiburg
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

1,79 xG 2,13
60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nice Freiburg
1–0 Kevin ⚽
C. Vanhoutte
25′
29′
⚽ J. Manzambi 1–1
Y. Suzuki
39′
⚽ V. Grifo 1–2
42′
⚽ D. Scherhant 1–3
M. Ginter
Half-time 1–3
M. Cho 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
46′
50′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
Charles Vanhoutte 🟨
52′
66′
🔁 L. Holer
↦ V. Grifo
66′
🔁 J. Beste
↦ D. Scherhant
66′
🔁 N. Hofler
↦ J. Manzambi
H. Boudaoui 🔁
↦ C. Vanhoutte
69′
M. Sanson 🔁
↦ S. Abdul Samed
69′
T. Louchet 🔁
↦ T. Gouveia
69′
73′
🟨 Lukas Kübler
I. Jansson 🔁
↦ Kevin
77′
78′
🔁 M. Rosenfelder
↦ L. Kubler
83′
🔁 I. Matanovic
↦ J. Adamu
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Nice

3-4-2-1
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
28 J. Bah D
26 M. Bard D
47 T. Gouveia M
99 S. Abdul Samed M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
2 A. Abdi M
10 S. Diop F
7 J. Boga F
90 Kevin F
Bench (11)
30 B. Zelazowski
31 M. Dupe
6 H. Boudaoui
8 M. Sanson
20 T. Louchet
21 I. Jansson
22 T. Ndombele
25 M. Cho
36 B. Mantsounga
37 K. Peprah
49 B. Nguene

Coach: Franck Armel Gérard Haise

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
7 D. Scherhant M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
5 A. Jung
6 P. Osterhage
9 L. Holer
19 J. Beste
26 M. Philipp
27 N. Hofler
29 P. Treu
30 C. Gunter
31 I. Matanovic
37 M. Rosenfelder

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.