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Europa League
Referee: John Beaton
Utrecht
T S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Porto
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 62%
56%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
44%
33%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 1,22
25% Possession 75%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Utrecht Porto
24′
🟨 Pepê
26′
🟨 Dominik Prpić
Half-time 0–0
Y. Cathline 🔁
↦ D. Murkin
46′
1–0 M. Rodriguez ⚽
S. El Karouani
48′
54′
🔁 William Gomes
↦ Pepê
57′
🟨 Martim Fernandes
Gjivai Zechiël 🟨
62′
D. van den Berg 🔁
↦ G. Zechiel
62′
S. Haller 🔁
↦ D. de Wit
62′
Vasilis Barkas 🟥
66′
66′
⚽ B. Sainz 1–1
D. Gul
M. Brouwer 🔁
↦ D. Min
68′
68′
🔁 V. Froholdt
↦ S. Eustaquio
68′
🔁 A. Costa
↦ M. Fernandes
70′
🟨 Victor Froholdt
74′
🔁 Samu
↦ D. Gul
Davy van den Berg 🟨
78′
M. van der Hoorn 🔁
↦ M. Rodriguez
80′
Siebe Horemans 🟨
91′
96′
🟨 Alberto Costa
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-4-2
1 V. Barkas G
2 S. Horemans D
40 M. Didden D
24 N. Viergever D
16 S. El Karouani D
22 M. Rodriguez M
27 A. Engwanda M
21 G. Zechiel M
55 D. Murkin M
20 D. de Wit F
9 D. Min F
Bench (12)
25 M. Brouwer
33 K. Gadellaa
3 M. van der Hoorn
5 K. Finnsson
6 D. van den Berg
8 C. Bozdogan
10 Y. Cathline
14 Z. Iqbal
15 A. Blake
26 M. Jonathans
44 M. Eerdhuijzen
91 S. Haller

Coach: Ron Jans

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
52 M. Fernandes D
5 J. Bednarek D
21 D. Prpic D
12 Zaidu D
6 S. Eustaquio M
13 P. Rosario M
10 G. Veiga M
11 Pepê F
27 D. Gul F
17 B. Sainz F
Bench (11)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
4 J. Kiwior
7 William Gomes
8 V. Froholdt
9 Samu
20 A. Costa
22 A. Varela
25 T. Perez
47 A. Alarcon
86 R. Mora

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.