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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Sp Lisbon
S S U T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Vitoria Setubal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 29
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Lisbon 4. · Vitoria Setubal 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Porto 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 Sp Braga 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Sp Lisbon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Vitoria Setubal 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Feirense 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Maritimo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Belenenses 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Boavista 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Chaves 2 1 0 1 -3 3
11 Tondela 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Guimaraes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Santa Clara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Nacional 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Moreirense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Rio Ave 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Portimonense 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Lisbon Vitoria Setubal
1–0 Nani
Jefferson
9′
19′
Zequinha 1–1
Frédéric Mendy
Bruno Fernandes 🟨
30′
45′
🟨 Frederic Mendy
Half-time 1–1
F. Montero 🔁
↦ B. Dost
46′
52′
🟨 Rúben Micael
56′
🟨 Vasco Fernandes
Jovane Cabral 🔁
↦ J. Mišić
59′
2–1 Nani
Jovane Cabral
66′
67′
🔁 Éber
↦ Costinha
70′
🔁 Hildeberto Pereira
↦ Zequinha
R. Petrović 🔁
↦ Nani
85′
85′
🔁 Alex
↦ Rúben Micael
Rodrigo Battaglia 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Éber Bessa
90′
🟨 Nuno Reis
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

4-4-1-1
19 R. Salin G
22 J. Mathieu D
5 Jefferson D
4 S. Coates D
13 S. Ristovski D
16 R. Battaglia M
27 J. Mišić M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
17 Nani M
28 B. Dost F
9 M. Acuña M
Bench (7)
10 F. Montero
77 Jovane Cabral
25 R. Petrović
6 André Pinto
21 Raphinha
40 Renan Ribeiro
37 Wendel

Coach: José Peseiro

Vitoria Setubal

4-1-4-1
1 Cristiano G
5 Mano D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
22 Nuno Reis D
29 Semedo M
15 Rúben Micael M
87 Zequinha M
23 Frédéric Mendy F
11 Costinha M
99 J. Cádiz F
Bench (7)
10 Éber
20 Hildeberto Pereira
9 Alex
96 Joel Castro
16 André Sousa
40 Baba Fernandes
45 Valdu Té

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.