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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

VVV Venlo

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Ajax

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VVV Venlo Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

2,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%

9 Shots 18

1 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 1

8 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match VVV Venlo 6. · Ajax 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
9	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.