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Championship
Referee: Tim Robinson
Ipswich
T S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Championship · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%
9 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 20. · Aston Villa 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Aston Villa 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Nott'm Forest 3 1 2 0 +1 5
5 Brentford 2 1 1 0 +4 4
6 Bolton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 West Brom 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Leeds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Derby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Wigan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Preston 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Sheffield United 3 1 0 2 -3 3
13 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 -3 3
14 Bristol City 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Millwall 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Birmingham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Norwich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
19 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 -1 1
20 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 -1 1
21 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -2 1
22 Hull 2 0 1 1 -2 1
23 Reading 2 0 0 2 -2 0
24 QPR 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Aston Villa
21′
J. Kodjia 0–1
J. McGinn
Adetayo Edun 🟨
29′
1–1 T. Chalobah
36′
Adetayo Edun 🟨
39′
Adetayo Edun 🟥
39′
Half-time 1–1
Janoi Donacien 🟨
49′
64′
🔁 C. Hourihane
↦ B. Bjarnason
64′
🔁 A. Green
↦ A. Tuanzebe
65′
🟨 Alan Hutton
K. Jackson 🔁
↦ E. Harrison
73′
78′
🔁 R. Hepburn-Murphy
↦ A. Adomah
80′
🟨 John McGinn
M. Kenlock 🔁
↦ J. Nolan
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
33 B. Bialkowski G
4 L. Chambers D
22 A. Nsiala D
3 J. Knudsen D
2 J. Donacien D
6 T. Chalobah M
25 A. Edun M
8 C. Skuse M
11 J. Nolan M
7 G. Edwards M
10 E. Harrison F
Bench (7)
9 K. Jackson
30 M. Kenlock
1 D. Gerken
12 J. Spence
18 G. Ward
20 F. Sears
21 F. Downes

Coach: P. Hurst

Aston Villa

4-4-1-1
1 Ø. Nyland G
21 A. Hutton D
5 J. Chester D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
20 B. Bjarnason M
15 M. Jedinak M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
37 A. Adomah M
10 J. Grealish M
7 J. McGinn M
26 J. Kodjia F
Bench (7)
14 C. Hourihane
19 A. Green
29 R. Hepburn-Murphy
3 N. Taylor
6 G. Whelan
23 André Moreira
24 T. Elphick

Coach: S. Bruce

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tim Robinson · 110 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.