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La Liga

Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero

Eibar

S S U T U

1–1

Full-time

Celta

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,4

4,0

Scored

1,4

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,6

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

40%

80%

Points per game

1,6

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,4

4,0

Scored

1,4

2,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 9. · Celta 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+4	15
3	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+13	14
4	Celta	5	4	1	0	+8	13
5	Ath Madrid	6	4	0	2	+6	12
6	Valencia	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Espanol	5	3	0	2	-5	9
8	La Coruna	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Eibar	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Las Palmas	6	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Sevilla	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Betis	5	1	2	2	-5	5
16	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-3	3
17	Ath Bilbao	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Levante	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Getafe	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Granada	6	1	0	5	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Celta	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Espanol	3	2	0	1	-4	6
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Las Palmas	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sevilla	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Malaga	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
20	Granada	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	La Coruna	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+4	6
5	Celta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Barcelona	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Eibar	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Valencia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Granada	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Vallecano	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Las Palmas	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Betis	2	0	1	1	-5	1
19	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Getafe	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.