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Premier League
Referee: M Dean
Everton
T U S T S
5–2
Full-time
West Brom
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Everton West Brom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

71% Possession 29%
17 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Everton 8. · West Brom 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +3 3
3 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Newcastle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Liverpool 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Leeds 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Tottenham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Brighton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
14 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Fulham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Everton West Brom
10′
⚽ G. Diangana 0–1
Matheus Pereira
Abdoulaye Doucouré 🟨
16′
1–1 D. Calvert-Lewin ⚽
31′
Dominic Calvert-Lewin ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
33′
45′
🟥 Kieran Gibbs
2–1 J. Rodríguez ⚽
Richarlison
45′
Half-time 2–2
47′
⚽ Matheus Pereira 2–2
3–2 M. Keane ⚽
54′
4–2 D. Calvert-Lewin ⚽
Richarlison
62′
G. Sigurðsson 🔁
↦ A. Doucouré
65′
5–2 D. Calvert-Lewin ⚽
J. Rodríguez
66′
A. Iwobi 🔁
↦ D. Calvert-Lewin
71′
71′
🔁 K. Edwards
↦ G. Diangana
71′
🔁 M. Phillips
↦ Matheus Pereira
75′
🔁 S. Field
↦ R. Sawyers
M. Kean 🔁
↦ J. Rodríguez
78′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Everton

4-3-3
1 J. Pickford G
23 S. Coleman D
12 L. Digne D
5 M. Keane D
13 Y. Mina D
19 J. Rodríguez F
6 Allan M
16 A. Doucouré M
21 André Gomes M
9 D. Calvert-Lewin F
7 Richarlison F
Bench (7)
10 G. Sigurðsson
17 A. Iwobi
27 M. Kean
2 J. Kenny
31 João Virginia
26 T. Davies
20 Bernard

Coach: C. Ancelotti

West Brom

5-4-1
1 S. Johnstone G
3 K. Gibbs D
5 K. Bartley D
6 S. Ajayi D
2 D. Furlong D
27 D. O'Shea D
8 J. Livermore M
19 R. Sawyers M
11 G. Diangana M
7 C. Robinson F
12 Matheus Pereira M
Bench (7)
21 K. Edwards
10 M. Phillips
28 S. Field
4 H. Robson-Kanu
25 D. Button
16 R. Harper
24 C. Kipre

Coach: S. Bilić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,54
U
4,25
B
6,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,81
U2,5
2,03
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

M Dean · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.