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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Sassuolo
S S T T U
2–2
Full-time
Bologna
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
56%
33%
Both score Ø 39%
56%
22%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

74% Possession 26%
15 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 5
1 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Bologna 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 10 9 1 0 +14 28
2 Napoli 9 7 0 2 +8 21
3 Inter 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 Lazio 9 6 0 3 +4 18
5 Fiorentina 10 4 3 3 +8 15
6 Sampdoria 9 4 3 2 +8 15
7 Roma 9 4 2 3 +4 14
8 Sassuolo 9 4 2 3 +1 14
9 Torino 10 3 5 2 +0 14
10 Genoa 8 4 1 3 -2 13
11 Parma 10 4 1 5 -4 13
12 Atalanta 10 3 3 4 +5 12
13 Milan 8 3 3 2 +4 12
14 Spal 9 4 0 5 -2 12
15 Cagliari 9 2 4 3 -3 10
16 Udinese 9 2 2 5 -5 8
17 Bologna 9 2 2 5 -6 8
18 Empoli 10 1 3 6 -6 6
19 Chievo 9 0 2 7 -17 2
20 Frosinone 9 0 2 7 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Bologna
2′
⚽ R. Palacio 0–1
F. Santander
1–1 Marlon ⚽
D. Berardi
17′
19′
🟨 Andrea Poli
Gianmarco Ferrari 🟨
28′
Francesco Magnanelli 🟨
38′
41′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
Half-time 1–1
49′
🟨 Rodrigo Palacio
56′
⚽ I. M'baye 1–2
G. González
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ F. Di Francesco
63′
65′
🔁 B. Džemaili
↦ R. Orsolini
A. Matri 🔁
↦ K. Babacar
72′
73′
🔁 L. Krejčí
↦ M. Svanberg
S. Sensi 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
79′
2–2 K. Boateng ⚽
85′
87′
🔁 D. Falcinelli
↦ R. Palacio
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

3-4-3
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
23 G. Magnani D
2 Marlon D
6 Rogério M
4 F. Magnanelli M
68 M. Bourabia M
9 F. Đuričić M
30 K. Babacar F
25 D. Berardi F
34 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
27 K. Boateng
10 A. Matri
12 S. Sensi
5 M. Lemos
13 F. Peluso
17 L. Sernicola
21 Pol Lirola
39 C. Dell'Orco
73 M. Locatelli
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Bologna

4-3-3
28 Ł. Skorupski G
3 G. González D
18 F. Helander D
15 I. M'baye D
33 A. Calabresi D
16 A. Poli M
5 E. Pulgar M
32 M. Svanberg M
24 R. Palacio F
9 F. Santander F
7 R. Orsolini F
Bench (12)
31 B. Džemaili
11 L. Krejčí
91 D. Falcinelli
1 Angelo da Costa
4 S. De Maio
6 N. Paz
8 Á. Nagy
19 J. Valencia
22 M. Destro
25 G. Corbo
29 A. Santurro
30 O. Okwonkwo

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.