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Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Schalke 04
T U U U U
2–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 15%
10%
19%
Points per game
0,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 55%
43%
67%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,74 xG 1,36
34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Dortmund 22 15 1 6 +18 +6.6 46
2 Bayern Munich 21 12 7 2 +40 +1.4 43
3 Union Berlin 21 13 4 4 +11 +4.1 43
4 RB Leipzig 22 12 6 4 +18 +4.5 42
5 Freiburg 21 12 4 5 +3 +0.9 40
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 11 5 6 +12 -2.1 38
7 Wolfsburg 22 9 6 7 +11 +2.5 33
8 Mainz 22 9 5 8 +3 +0.9 32
9 Werder Bremen 22 9 3 10 -7 -5.7 30
10 M'gladbach 22 8 5 9 -1 -3.4 29
11 Leverkusen 21 8 3 10 +0 +3.9 27
12 FC Koln 22 6 8 8 -4 +0.9 26
13 Augsburg 22 7 3 12 -12 -0.5 24
14 Hertha 22 5 5 12 -13 -4.5 20
15 Stuttgart 21 4 7 10 -10 +0.7 19
16 Hoffenheim 22 5 4 13 -12 -4.9 19
17 Bochum 22 6 1 15 -30 -4.4 19
18 Schalke 04 21 2 7 12 -27 -0.9 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Stuttgart
1–0 D. Drexler
M. Frey
10′
2–0 M. Bülter
R. Zalazar
40′
Alex Král 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Zagadou
↦ H. Ito
46′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ Gil Dias
57′
🔁 J. Vagnoman
↦ W. Anton
63′
B. Sosa 2–1
A. Karazor
É. Balanta 🔁
↦ T. Krauß
66′
70′
🟨 Borna Sosa
K. Karaman 🔁
↦ M. Bülter
72′
S. Terodde 🔁
↦ M. Frey
72′
D. Latza 🔁
↦ R. Zalazar
72′
78′
🔁 Tiago Tomás
↦ G. Haraguchi
79′
🔁 L. Pfeiffer
↦ C. Führich
91′
🟨 Atakan Karazor
L. Greiml 🔁
↦ D. Drexler
92′
Leo Greiml 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
23 M. Aydın D
4 M. Yoshida D
25 M. Jenz D
41 H. Matriciani D
30 A. Král M
6 T. Krauß M
24 D. Drexler M
10 R. Zalazar M
11 M. Bülter M
26 M. Frey F
Bench (9)
33 É. Balanta
19 K. Karaman
9 S. Terodde
8 D. Latza
3 L. Greiml
35 M. Kamiński
39 J. Müller
13 A. Schwolow
29 T. Mohr

Coach: T. Reis

Stuttgart

4-3-3
33 F. Bredlow G
2 W. Anton D
5 K. Mavropanos D
21 H. Ito D
24 B. Sosa D
3 W. Endo M
16 A. Karazor M
17 G. Haraguchi M
31 Gil Dias F
14 S. Katompa Mvumpa F
22 C. Führich F
Bench (9)
23 D. Zagadou
7 T. Coulibaly
4 J. Vagnoman
10 Tiago Tomás
20 L. Pfeiffer
1 F. Müller
28 N. Nartey
39 T. Kastanaras
11 J. Perea

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,99
U
3,37
B
2,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.