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Eliteserien

Referee: M Lien

Stromsgodset

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Molde

U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 42%

31%

52%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

38%

72%

Both score Ø 52%

45%

59%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,1

2,2

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,75 xG 1,76

46% Possession 54%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 7. · Molde 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	29	17	8	4	+37	+23.4	59
2	Brann	29	17	7	5	+22	+15.4	58
3	Viking	29	16	8	5	+22	+18.1	56
4	Molde	29	15	7	7	+29	+18.5	52
5	Rosenborg	29	15	5	9	+9	+3.3	50
6	Fredrikstad	29	13	9	7	+3	+4.0	48
7	Stromsgodset	29	9	8	12	-9	-7.2	35
8	KFUM Oslo	29	8	10	11	-3	+3.1	34
9	Sandefjord	29	9	7	13	-4	-1.9	34
10	Kristiansund	29	8	10	11	-9	-7.9	34
11	Sarpsborg 08	29	9	7	13	-13	-6.0	34
12	Ham-Kam	29	8	9	12	-3	-6.7	33
13	Tromso	29	9	6	14	-9	-12.8	33
14	Haugesund	29	8	6	15	-18	-11.5	30
15	Lillestrom	29	7	3	19	-27	-8.8	24
16	Odd	29	5	8	16	-27	-22.9	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	10	4	1	+16	+13.8	34
2	Rosenborg	15	10	2	3	+12	+8.1	32
3	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	4	1	+26	+15.2	31
4	Brann	14	9	2	3	+12	+12.8	29
5	Molde	15	8	3	4	+16	+13.2	27
6	Fredrikstad	15	7	6	2	+4	+8.6	27
7	Sandefjord	14	7	2	5	+3	+3.2	23
8	Stromsgodset	14	6	4	4	+4	+6.8	22
9	Kristiansund	14	5	6	3	+0	+5.1	21
10	Tromso	15	5	4	6	+3	+1.2	19
11	Ham-Kam	14	4	4	6	+0	-3.1	16
12	Haugesund	14	5	1	8	-6	+1.3	16
13	KFUM Oslo	15	2	7	6	-6	+5.7	13
14	Odd	15	3	4	8	-13	-7.7	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	14	3	3	8	-11	-0.7	12
16	Lillestrom	15	3	3	9	-14	-1.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	15	8	5	2	+10	+2.6	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	15	8	4	3	+11	+8.2	28
3	Molde	14	7	4	3	+13	+5.3	25
4	Viking	14	6	4	4	+6	+4.2	22
5	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	-2	-5.3	22
6	KFUM Oslo	14	6	3	5	+3	-2.6	21
7	Fredrikstad	14	6	3	5	-1	-4.6	21
8	Rosenborg	14	5	3	6	-3	-4.8	18
9	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	-3	-3.6	17
10	Haugesund	15	3	5	7	-12	-12.8	14
11	Tromso	14	4	2	8	-12	-14.0	14
12	Kristiansund	15	3	4	8	-9	-13.1	13
13	Stromsgodset	15	3	4	8	-13	-14.0	13
14	Lillestrom	14	4	0	10	-13	-7.4	12
15	Sandefjord	15	2	5	8	-7	-5.1	11
16	Odd	14	2	4	8	-14	-15.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.