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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

Haugesund

S S T S U

2–0

Full-time

Moss

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Haugesund Moss

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 31/1 matches

Win Ø 15%

29%

Points per game

1,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

45%

Both score Ø 21%

42%

Average goals

2,4

0,0

Scored

0,9

0,0

Conceded

1,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

3 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	30	18	8	4	+40	+23.4	62
2	Brann	30	17	8	5	+22	+15.4	59
3	Viking	30	16	9	5	+22	+18.1	57
4	Rosenborg	30	16	5	9	+13	+5.6	53
5	Molde	30	15	7	8	+28	+18.5	52
6	Fredrikstad	30	14	9	7	+4	+4.0	51
7	Stromsgodset	30	10	8	12	-8	-7.2	38
8	KFUM Oslo	30	9	10	11	-1	+3.1	37
9	Sarpsborg 08	30	10	7	13	-12	-5.1	37
10	Sandefjord	30	9	7	14	-5	-1.9	34
11	Kristiansund	30	8	10	12	-13	-10.3	34
12	Haugesund	31	9	7	15	-17	-11.8	34
13	Ham-Kam	30	8	9	13	-5	-6.7	33
14	Tromso	30	9	6	15	-10	-13.8	33
15	Lillestrom	30	7	3	20	-30	-8.8	24
16	Odd	30	5	8	17	-28	-22.9	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	10	4	1	+29	+15.2	34
2	Viking	15	10	4	1	+16	+13.8	34
3	Rosenborg	15	10	2	3	+12	+8.1	32
4	Brann	15	9	3	3	+12	+12.8	30
5	Molde	15	8	3	4	+16	+13.2	27
6	Fredrikstad	15	7	6	2	+4	+8.6	27
7	Stromsgodset	15	7	4	4	+5	+6.8	25
8	Sandefjord	15	7	2	6	+2	+3.2	23
9	Kristiansund	15	5	6	4	-4	+2.8	21
10	Tromso	15	5	4	6	+3	+1.2	19
11	Haugesund	15	6	1	8	-5	+1.3	19
12	Ham-Kam	15	4	4	7	-2	-3.1	16
13	Sarpsborg 08	15	4	3	8	-10	+0.2	15
14	KFUM Oslo	15	2	7	6	-6	+5.7	13
15	Odd	15	3	4	8	-13	-7.7	13
16	Lillestrom	15	3	3	9	-14	-1.4	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	15	8	5	2	+10	+2.6	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	15	8	4	3	+11	+8.2	28
3	Molde	15	7	4	4	+12	+5.3	25
4	KFUM Oslo	15	7	3	5	+5	-2.6	24
5	Fredrikstad	15	7	3	5	+0	-4.6	24
6	Viking	15	6	5	4	+6	+4.2	23
7	Sarpsborg 08	15	6	4	5	-2	-5.3	22
8	Rosenborg	15	6	3	6	+1	-2.5	21
9	Ham-Kam	15	4	5	6	-3	-3.6	17
10	Haugesund	16	3	6	7	-12	-13.1	15
11	Tromso	15	4	2	9	-13	-14.9	14
12	Kristiansund	15	3	4	8	-9	-13.1	13
13	Stromsgodset	15	3	4	8	-13	-14.0	13
14	Lillestrom	15	4	0	11	-16	-7.4	12
15	Sandefjord	15	2	5	8	-7	-5.1	11
16	Odd	15	2	4	9	-15	-15.3	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.