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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Venezia
S T T T T
2–2
Full-time
Como
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie A · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 14%
14%
14%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,32 xG 1,05
34% Possession 66%
8 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 20. · Como 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Atalanta 15 11 1 3 +21 +15.2 34
2 Napoli 14 10 2 2 +12 +9.1 32
3 Inter 14 9 4 1 +19 +12.7 31
4 Fiorentina 14 9 4 1 +18 +7.6 31
5 Lazio 14 9 1 4 +12 +13.6 28
6 Juventus 15 6 9 0 +14 +9.4 27
7 Milan 14 6 4 4 +8 +9.2 22
8 Bologna 14 5 7 2 +2 +1.3 22
9 Empoli 15 4 7 4 -1 -9.3 19
10 Udinese 14 5 2 7 -5 -7.0 17
11 Roma 15 4 4 7 -3 -2.5 16
12 Torino 15 4 4 7 -4 -6.4 16
13 Parma 15 3 6 6 -4 -6.0 15
14 Genoa 15 3 6 6 -11 -8.5 15
15 Cagliari 15 3 5 7 -10 -2.9 14
16 Lecce 15 3 4 8 -18 -8.8 13
17 Verona 15 4 0 11 -19 -12.0 12
18 Como 14 2 5 7 -12 -1.7 11
19 Monza 14 1 7 6 -5 -6.5 10
20 Venezia 14 2 2 10 -14 -6.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Como
1–0 H. Nicolussi
F. Zampano
16′
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 🟨
39′
Half-time 2–0
49′
A. Candela 2–0
own goal
56′
A. Belotti 2–1
I. Van der Brempt
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ A. Candela
64′
M. Kofod Andersen 🔁
↦ I. Doumbia
64′
M. Šverko 🔁
↦ G. Altare
64′
67′
🔁 L. Mazzitelli
↦ A. Fadera
3–1 G. Oristanio
69′
75′
🟨 Marco Sala
76′
🔁 P. Cutrone
↦ A. Belotti
76′
🔁 A. Iovine
↦ M. Sala
J. Yeboah 🔁
↦ G. Oristanio
84′
D. Črnigoj 🔁
↦ G. Busio
84′
85′
🔁 A. Gabrielloni
↦ Gabriel Strefezza
85′
🔁 S. Verdi
↦ L. da Cunha
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Venezia

3-4-2-1
35 F. Stanković G
15 G. Altare D
30 M. Svoboda D
4 J. Idzes D
27 A. Candela M
97 I. Doumbia M
14 H. Nicolussi M
7 F. Zampano M
11 G. Oristanio F
6 G. Busio F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
Bench (13)
77 M. Ellertsson
38 M. Kofod Andersen
33 M. Šverko
10 J. Yeboah
22 D. Črnigoj
1 J. Joronen
25 J. Schingtienne
9 C. Gytkjær
23 M. Grandi
19 B. Bjarkason
80 S. El Haddad
12 Bruno
79 F. Carboni

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Como

4-2-3-1
25 Pepe Reina G
77 I. Van der Brempt D
5 E. Goldaniga D
2 M. Kempf D
3 M. Sala D
26 Y. Engelhardt M
33 L. da Cunha M
7 Gabriel Strefezza M
79 N. Paz M
16 A. Fadera M
11 A. Belotti F
Bench (14)
36 L. Mazzitelli
10 P. Cutrone
6 A. Iovine
9 A. Gabrielloni
90 S. Verdi
93 F. Barba
13 A. Dossena
8 D. Baselli
27 M. Braunöder
14 Ali Jasim
4 B. Kone
17 A. Cerri
15 Fellipe Jack
1 E. Audero

Coach: Cesc Fàbregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U ✓
3,32
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.