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Super League

Referee: F Polychronis

Asteras Tripolis

S S T T T

0–1

Full-time

Panathinaikos

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 36%

29%

43%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

43%

21%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

2,1

1,7

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%

14 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 9

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 10. · Panathinaikos 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	9	3	3	+18	30
2	Olympiakos	15	9	3	3	+15	30
3	PAOK	15	8	3	4	+10	27
4	Panathinaikos	14	6	6	2	+4	24
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	3	4	+3	24
6	Aris	14	7	3	4	+3	24
7	Panetolikos	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	16	5	4	7	-1	19
9	OFI Crete	15	5	4	6	-5	19
10	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	5	5	+0	17
11	Volos NFC	15	5	2	8	-10	17
12	Panserraikos	15	5	1	9	-9	16
13	Levadeiakos	14	1	7	6	-10	10
14	Lamia	14	1	6	7	-11	9
15	Athens Kallithea	14	0	8	6	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	8	6	2	0	+18	20
2	Olympiakos	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Aris Thessalonikis	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Aris	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Panetolikos	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Panathinaikos	8	3	4	1	+3	13
7	PAOK	8	2	2	4	-1	8
8	Atromitos	8	2	2	4	-2	8
9	OFI Crete	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Asteras Tripolis	6	2	1	3	+1	7
11	Levadeiakos	7	1	4	2	-4	7
12	Panserraikos	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Lamia	6	0	3	3	-5	3
14	Athens Kallithea	6	0	3	3	-6	3
15	Volos NFC	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Volos NFC	8	5	0	3	-1	15
3	Olympiakos	8	4	1	3	+5	13
4	Atromitos	8	3	2	3	+1	11
5	Panathinaikos	6	3	2	1	+1	11
6	OFI Crete	7	3	2	2	-2	11
7	AEK	7	3	1	3	+0	10
8	Asteras Tripolis	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Panetolikos	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Panserraikos	7	3	0	4	-4	9
11	Aris Thessalonikis	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Aris	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Lamia	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Athens Kallithea	8	0	5	3	-5	5
15	Levadeiakos	7	0	3	4	-6	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.