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2. Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Hamburg

T S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Bielefeld

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Bielefeld

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

65%

30%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hamburg 2. · Bielefeld 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	21	14	6	1	+20	48
2	Hamburg	20	13	2	5	+14	41
3	Paderborn	21	12	2	7	+19	38
4	Heidenheim	20	10	7	3	+13	37
5	Kaiserslautern	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	10	2	9	+5	32
7	Holstein Kiel	21	8	7	6	+2	31
8	St Pauli	21	7	8	6	+3	29
9	Hannover	21	8	5	8	+2	29
10	Greuther Furth	21	6	8	7	-4	26
11	Hansa Rostock	21	7	3	11	-10	24
12	Karlsruhe	20	6	4	10	-4	22
13	Nurnberg	20	6	4	10	-10	22
14	Braunschweig	21	5	6	10	-10	21
15	Magdeburg	21	6	3	12	-14	21
16	Bielefeld	20	6	2	12	-5	20
17	Regensburg	21	5	5	11	-15	20
18	Sandhausen	20	5	4	11	-13	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	11	7	4	0	+12	25
2	Paderborn	11	8	0	3	+19	24
3	Heidenheim	10	7	3	0	+13	24
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+10	20
6	Greuther Furth	11	5	5	1	+3	20
7	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
8	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Regensburg	11	3	5	3	-6	14
14	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-3	13
15	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
16	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Hansa Rostock	11	3	1	7	-6	10
18	Magdeburg	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	10	7	2	1	+8	23
2	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
3	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Magdeburg	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Hannover	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	1	7	-7	10
11	St Pauli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
12	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
13	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Sandhausen	11	2	2	7	-9	8
16	Braunschweig	10	1	4	5	-10	7
17	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
18	Regensburg	10	2	0	8	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.