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Referee: M Burda

Lokomotive Leipzig

0–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokomotive Leipzig Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

7,0

2,3

Scored

0,0

0,7

Conceded

7,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-7,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 26

4 Shots on target 11

2 Blocked shots 5

10 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 9

6 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
33	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
13	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
14	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
15	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
16	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
17	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokomotive Leipzig Schalke 04

Half-time 0–0

M. Kang 🔁

↦ J. Arcalean

65′

D. Cevis 🔁

↦ C. Maier

66′

69′

🔁 F. Sanchez

↦ T. Becker

69′

🔁 J. Bachmann

↦ E. Hojlund

D. Ziane 🔁

↦ S. Maderer

78′

80′

🔁 M. Ayhan

↦ H. Kurucay

80′

🔁 B. Lasme

↦ M. Gruger

90′

🔁 A. Gantenbein

↦ K. Karaman

P. Verkamp 🔁

↦ A. Siebeck

96′

L. Zimmer 🔁

↦ D. Grozinger

105′

107′

⚽ B. Lasme 0–1

N. Katic

112′

🟨 Vitalie Becker

Djamal Ziane 🟨

115′

Farid Abderrahmane 🟨

116′

🟨 Nikola Katić

Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lokomotive Leipzig

4-4-2

1 A. Naumann G

34 T. Dombrowa D

28 L. Von-Piechowski D

5 L. Wilton

27 D. Grozinger

17 J. Arcalean M

14 A. Siebeck M

8 F. Abderrahmane M

11 A. Adetula M

9 S. Maderer F

21 C. Maier F

Bench (9)

20 M. Bergmann

24 A. Ruhlemann

4 J. Stein

15 L. Zimmer

30 E. Ozturk

29 M. Kang

7 P. Verkamp

13 D. Ziane

22 D. Cevis

Coach: Jochen Seitz

Schalke 04

3-4-2-1

J. Heekeren G

T. Becker D

N. Katic D

H. Kurucay D

18 C. Antwi-Adjei M

37 M. Gruger M

S. El-Faouzi M

V. Becker M

15 E. Hojlund F

K. Karaman F

M. Sylla F

Bench (9)

32 L. Podlech

43 M. Ayhan

30 A. Donkor

17 A. Gantenbein

41 H. Matriciani

2 F. Sanchez

14 J. Bachmann

16 M. Zalazar

11 B. Lasme

Coach: Miron Muslic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5

–

🔒

U1,5 ✓

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

13. Aug POK 3 years ago

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,3 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

22,3 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Lokomotive Leipzig

Schalke 04

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee