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Ligue 2
Caen
U S S U T
1–0
Full-time
Amiens
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
20%
20%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,4
Conceded
0,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
6 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 8. · Amiens 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Niort 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Paris FC 5 3 1 1 +3 10
3 Troyes 6 3 1 2 +3 10
4 Grenoble 5 3 0 2 +3 9
5 Sochaux 5 2 3 0 +3 9
6 Valenciennes 5 3 0 2 +3 9
7 Le Havre 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Caen 5 2 2 1 +3 8
9 Rodez 5 2 2 1 -1 8
10 Dunkerque 5 2 1 2 +0 7
11 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Clermont 5 1 3 1 +0 6
13 Toulouse 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Amiens 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Chambly 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Nancy 5 1 1 3 -1 4
18 Chateauroux 5 1 1 3 -2 4
19 Ajaccio 5 1 1 3 -3 4
20 Pau FC 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,44
U
2,86
B
3,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,52
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.