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Allsvenskan
Orebro
S S U T S
3–2
Full-time
Elfsborg
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Orebro Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 34%
32%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Orebro 11. · Elfsborg 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 22 12 8 2 +21 44
2 Norrkoping 22 10 6 6 +13 36
3 Elfsborg 22 8 12 2 +6 36
4 Hacken 21 9 8 4 +11 35
5 Djurgarden 21 9 5 7 +7 32
6 Sirius 21 8 8 5 +3 32
7 Hammarby 22 8 8 6 +1 32
8 Ostersunds 22 7 9 6 -1 30
9 Mjallby 22 7 7 8 -3 28
10 Varberg 22 7 6 9 -2 27
11 Orebro 22 7 6 9 -5 27
12 AIK 21 6 6 9 -5 24
13 Goteborg 22 3 12 7 -9 21
14 Helsingborg 22 4 9 9 -11 21
15 Kalmar 22 4 7 11 -12 19
16 Falkenbergs 22 3 7 12 -14 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.