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Premier League

Referee: M Oliver

Chelsea

T S S T U

4–0

Full-time

Crystal Palace

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%

17 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 0

5 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 9. · Crystal Palace 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Everton	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Arsenal	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Crystal Palace	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Leeds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Tottenham	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Chelsea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Newcastle	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	West Ham	3	1	0	2	+1	3
12	Brighton	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Man City	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Man United	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Southampton	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Wolves	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	West Brom	3	0	1	2	-6	1
18	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Sheffield United	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Fulham	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Everton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	West Ham	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Tottenham	2	0	1	1	-1	1
10	West Brom	2	0	1	1	-3	1
11	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Man United	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Brighton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Man City	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Sheffield United	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Fulham	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leicester	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Everton	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Leeds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Southampton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Wolves	2	1	0	1	-2	3
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.