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Serie A

Referee: I Pezzuto

Sassuolo

T S T U S

4–1

Full-time

Crotone

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,0

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

7 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 7. · Crotone 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Sassuolo	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Bologna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Fiorentina	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Spezia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Lazio	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Benevento	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Roma	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Torino	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Udinese	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Parma	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Crotone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Verona	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Fiorentina	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Torino	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Benevento	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Spezia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Benevento	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	Juventus	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Udinese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Crotone	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Parma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Roma	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.