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Eliteserien
Referee: Marius Grotta
Sarpsborg 08
T T S S U
4–0
Full-time
Stabaek
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
47%
53%
Both score Ø 43%
32%
53%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Stabaek 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 19 17 2 0 +47 53
2 Rosenborg 19 10 5 4 +16 35
3 Odd 19 11 2 6 +8 35
4 Molde 19 11 1 7 +23 34
5 Valerenga 19 9 5 5 +3 32
6 Kristiansund 19 8 7 4 +11 31
7 Viking 19 8 4 7 +0 28
8 Stabaek 19 6 7 6 -3 25
9 Sarpsborg 08 19 7 3 9 -4 24
10 Brann 19 6 5 8 -7 23
11 Sandefjord 19 7 2 10 -9 23
12 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 -8 22
13 Stromsgodset 19 5 7 7 -9 22
14 Start 19 3 6 10 -19 15
15 Mjondalen 19 4 2 13 -18 14
16 Aalesund 19 1 4 14 -31 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Stabaek
1–0 M. Dyrestam
J. Lindseth
10′
2–0 T. Heintz
J. Lindseth
16′
3–0 J. Lindseth
G. Molins
23′
4–0 B. Utvik
T. Heintz
25′
Half-time 4–0
46′
🔁 P. Vogt
↦ J. Øveraas
46′
🔁 H. Vetlesen
↦ E. Bohinen
53′
🟨 Yaw Amankwah
56′
🔁 K. Kinoshita
↦ D. Maatsen
57′
🔁 K. Hansen
↦ L. Kassi
62′
🟨 Peder Vogt
A. Konte 🔁
↦ J. Lindseth
65′
S. Jarl 🔁
↦ B. Utvik
65′
68′
🔁 J. Isaksen
↦ H. Vetlesen
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ G. Vetti
70′
M. Ofkir 🔁
↦ G. Molins
81′
S. Bojang 🔁
↦ O. Halvorsen
81′
87′
🟨 Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

3-4-2-1
33 D. Mitov-Nilsson G
3 J. Horn D
22 M. Dyrestam M
5 M. Ødegård D
6 N. Næss M
4 B. Utvik D
7 O. Halvorsen M
11 J. Lindseth F
14 T. Heintz F
15 G. Vetti M
10 G. Molins F
Bench (9)
27 A. Konte
18 S. Jarl
21 J. Adéoti
8 M. Ofkir
2 S. Bojang
28 A. Tveter
17 J. Soltvedt
24 A. Elyounoussi
12 S. Thomas

Coach: M. Stahre

Stabaek

4-3-3
12 M. Sandberg G
5 M. Solheim D
3 Y. Amankwah D
26 E. Jonassen D
2 J. Øveraas D
6 L. Kassi F
22 S. Skytte M
8 E. Bohinen M
24 K. Kostadinov M
9 D. Maatsen F
23 O. Edvardsen F
Bench (9)
30 P. Vogt
25 H. Vetlesen
19 K. Kinoshita
11 K. Hansen
7 J. Isaksen
27 N. Jenssen
84 J. Brauti
20 E. Botheim
21 M. Lundal

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marius Grotta · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.