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Ekstraklasa
Podbeskidzie
T U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Stal Mielec
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Podbeskidzie Stal Mielec
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
4,6
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
3,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,6
This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 10%
0%
20%
Points per game
0,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
100%
40%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
4,6
3,4
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
3,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Podbeskidzie 15. · Stal Mielec 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Rakow 6 4 1 1 +8 13
3 Slask Wroclaw 5 3 1 1 +5 10
4 Zaglebie 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Lechia Gdansk 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Jagiellonia 5 2 2 1 +1 8
7 Pogon Szczecin 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Cracovia 6 1 4 1 -1 7
9 Legia 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lech Poznan 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Stal Mielec 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Wisla Plock 6 1 2 3 -3 5
13 Warta Poznan 5 1 1 3 -1 4
14 Wisla 5 0 3 2 -5 3
15 Podbeskidzie 5 0 2 3 -9 2
16 Piast Gliwice 5 0 1 4 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.