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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Werder Bremen
S U U T S
1–0
Full-time
Bielefeld
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,8
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 1
6 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Bielefeld 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Augsburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 +2 4
4 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 RB Leipzig 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Freiburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Bielefeld 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bayern Munich 2 1 0 1 +5 3
9 Stuttgart 2 1 0 1 +2 3
10 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
11 Dortmund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Werder Bremen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
13 Wolfsburg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Leverkusen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 M'gladbach 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 Schalke 04 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Bielefeld
1–0 L. Bittencourt
J. Mbom
27′
Marco Friedl 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
52′
🟨 Anderson-Lenda Lucoqu
71′
🔁 S. Schipplock
↦ S. Córdova
71′
🔁 J. Laursen
↦ A. Lucoqui
T. Chong 🔁
↦ N. Füllkrug
75′
C. Groß 🔁
↦ D. Klaassen
75′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ J. Sargent
81′
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
81′
88′
🔁 J. Edmundsson
↦ R. Doan
88′
🔁 R. Yabo
↦ C. Soukou
N. Moisander 🔁
↦ J. Mbom
89′
Maximilian Eggestein 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Mike Van der Hoorn
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

5-3-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
5 L. Augustinsson D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
30 D. Klaassen M
10 L. Bittencourt M
35 M. Eggestein M
34 J. Mbom D
11 N. Füllkrug F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
22 T. Chong
36 C. Groß
9 D. Selke
24 J. Eggestein
18 N. Moisander
27 S. Kapino
8 Y. Ōsako
41 N. Woltemade
17 F. Agu

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
6 M. van der Hoorn D
27 C. Brunner D
23 A. Lucoqui D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
17 C. Soukou M
30 M. Hartel M
8 R. Doan M
9 F. Klos F
18 S. Córdova M
Bench (9)
36 S. Schipplock
5 J. Laursen
14 J. Edmundsson
10 R. Yabo
4 J. Nilsson
7 C. Gebauer
34 O. Linnér
16 F. Kunze
20 N. Seufert

Coach: U. Neuhaus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,14
U
3,56
B
3,30
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.