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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Rodez
U S T U U
1–1
Full-time
Le Havre
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
18%
55%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
45%
36%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,4
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
4 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 16. · Le Havre 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 11 7 2 2 +5 23
3 Le Havre 11 6 4 1 +14 22
4 Sochaux 11 7 1 3 +12 22
5 Valenciennes 11 5 4 2 +2 19
6 Caen 11 5 3 3 +5 18
7 Guingamp 11 5 3 3 +2 18
8 Paris FC 12 4 4 4 +0 16
9 Grenoble 11 4 4 3 -1 16
10 Bastia 11 5 1 5 -4 16
11 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
12 Quevilly Rouen 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Annecy 11 3 3 5 +0 12
14 Dijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
15 St Etienne 12 2 5 5 -4 11
16 Rodez 11 2 5 4 -5 11
17 Pau FC 11 2 5 4 -7 11
18 Laval 11 3 1 7 -5 10
19 Nimes 11 2 2 7 -7 8
20 Niort 11 2 2 7 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Le Havre
Nassim Ouammou 🟨
22′
36′
🟨 Yassine Kechta
45′
B. Danger 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
C. Dépres 🔁
↦ W. Younoussa
46′
Remy Boissier 🟨
54′
58′
🔁 N. Alioui
↦ Y. Kitala
59′
🔁 J. Thiaré
↦ E. Mahmoud
Clément Depres 🟨
64′
66′
🟨 Jamal Thiaré
Joseph Mendes 🔁
↦ É. Vandenabeele
71′
A. Pembélé 🔁
↦ N. Ouammou
71′
2–0 Joseph Mendes
C. Dépres
74′
75′
🔁 A. Confais
↦ Q. Cornette
75′
🔁 C. Diakité
↦ Y. Kechta
Bradley Danger 🟨
76′
83′
🟨 Christopher Operi
G. Coelho 🔁
↦ M. Senaya
89′
89′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ A. Richardson
95′
🟨 Arouna Sangante
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Rodez

5-4-1
16 L. M'Pasi G
20 M. Senaya D
22 L. Mouyokolo D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
14 B. Danger D
28 A. Abdallah D
26 W. Younoussa M
6 R. Boissier M
8 L. Rajot M
7 N. Ouammou M
12 K. Corredor F
Bench (7)
25 C. Dépres
11 Joseph Mendes
24 A. Pembélé
29 G. Coelho
1 S. Cibois
9 Park Jung-Bin
18 A. Valério

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Le Havre

4-3-3
30 A. Desmas G
17 O. El Hajjam D
93 A. Sangante D
5 Z. Diallo D
27 C. Opéri D
24 A. Richardson M
22 V. Lekhal M
8 Y. Kechta M
28 E. Mahmoud F
9 Y. Kitala F
11 Q. Cornette F
Bench (7)
10 N. Alioui
14 J. Thiaré
25 A. Confais
6 C. Diakité
18 N. Mbemba
19 D. Moussadek
1 M. Gorgelin

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,80
U ✓
3,18
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,43
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.