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Ligue 2
Referee: B Lepaysant
Laval
T S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Valenciennes
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Valenciennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
64%
21%
Both score Ø 47%
57%
36%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
18 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 13. · Valenciennes 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 14 8 5 1 +17 29
2 Bordeaux 14 8 3 3 +11 27
3 Grenoble 14 7 4 3 +4 25
4 Sochaux 14 7 3 4 +11 24
5 Valenciennes 14 6 5 3 +2 23
6 Amiens 14 7 2 5 +1 23
7 Caen 14 6 4 4 +3 22
8 Guingamp 14 5 5 4 +1 20
9 Paris FC 14 5 5 4 +1 20
10 Pau FC 14 5 5 4 -3 20
11 Metz 14 5 3 6 +0 18
12 Bastia 14 5 3 6 -5 18
13 Laval 14 5 2 7 +0 17
14 Annecy 14 4 3 7 -2 15
15 Quevilly Rouen 14 3 6 5 -5 15
16 Rodez 15 3 6 6 -6 15
17 Nimes 14 4 2 8 -5 14
18 Dijon 14 3 5 6 -5 14
19 St Etienne 15 3 5 7 -6 14
20 Niort 14 3 2 9 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Valenciennes
Bryan Goncalves 🟥
17′
Yohan Tavares 🟥
34′
M. Baudry 🔁
↦ G. Durbant
37′
1–0 M. Baudry
41′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Jason Berthomier
61′
🔁 F. Ayité
↦ A. Linguet
61′
🔁 F. Martin
↦ J. Berthomier
61′
🔁 M. Noubissi
↦ I. Hamache
K. N'Chobi 🔁
↦ Z. Naidji
64′
Julien Maggiotti 🟨
67′
67′
🔁 A. Zinga
↦ M. Picouleau
76′
🔁 M. Touré
↦ N. Diliberto
J. Adéoti 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
78′
K. Tapoko 🔁
↦ J. Roye
78′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Laval

3-5-2
1 M. Hautbois G
12 Y. Baldé D
23 Yohan Tavares D
7 B. Goncalves D
39 A. Gonçalves M
6 S. Sanna M
4 J. Roye M
5 J. Maggiotti M
25 E. Seidou M
9 G. Durbant F
24 Z. Naidji F
Bench (7)
3 M. Baudry
11 K. N'Chobi
27 J. Adéoti
8 K. Tapoko
29 D. Sylla
40 T. Chatelain
18 R. Duterte

Coach: O. Frapolli

Valenciennes

4-1-4-1
1 G. Larsonneur G
24 A. Linguet D
26 M. Debuchy D
14 J. Cuffaut D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
39 Jonathan Buatu M
5 J. Berthomier M
8 N. Diliberto M
27 M. Picouleau M
20 I. Hamache M
11 U. Bonnet F
Bench (7)
7 F. Ayité
10 F. Martin
9 M. Noubissi
15 A. Zinga
25 M. Touré
16 H. Konaté
37 M. Rabuel

Coach: N. Rabuel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,22
B
3,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Lepaysant · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.